TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,802
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,158

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,802 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb351…5fbfbacked Under53c28,536$15,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,343.493043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under56c25,114$13,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,175.691,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Over1c12,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12029810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Over47c8,397$3,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,946.5140350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over50c8,392$4,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,175.394,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Under50c7,518$3,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,758.9848448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over45c6,352$2,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,882.379,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over48c5,418$2,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,612.252,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over44c4,800$2,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,090.673,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2e5…eec3backed Over46c3,700$1,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7021942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd856…f1f6backed Under54c3,700$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7022352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over47c3,611$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb07…0769backed Over4c3,207$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.582015%3 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick15cpaid-53.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over47c3,159$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.7358347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfac…75debacked Over45c2,973$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3381822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-57.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under54c2,483$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1421,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Over46c2,080$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.858951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over46c1,457$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.452,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Over42c1,160$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.1935651.1%182 W · 174 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b4…1014backed Over43c1,155$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004729.8%14 W · 33 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under57c1,134$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.66,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under52c1,121$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.735,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over43c900.16$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.5322836.4%83 W · 145 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Over12c833$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9639018.2%71 W · 319 L+27.6wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under52c826.76$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.692,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Under50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35015038%57 W · 93 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b2d…6e9fbacked Over46c543.48$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25040%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed Over55c505.42$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.9816943.8%74 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2352,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Over47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2351,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f27…6ea7backed Over50c440$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21914145.4%64 W · 77 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fde…66b2backed Over48c433.66$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2085756.1%32 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Under53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1885349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over45c387$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.151,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Over47c374.47$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17633447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over43c355$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.74,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under56c335.98$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.8314753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under55c328$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.036953.6%37 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under53c321$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.142,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1381,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over59c299.99$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.991,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe965…6559backed Under41c276.21$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.963857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over53c267.87$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1428,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a6…af86backed Under47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.772661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over42c200$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9935739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Under51c196.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6716553.9%89 W · 76 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b8a…591cbacked Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-43%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1936649.5%181 W · 185 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Under54c165$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.97557.3%43 W · 32 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Under55c159$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.556446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Over48c157.71$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1626659%157 W · 109 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Over47c155.98$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3118053.3%96 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeabf…97e5backed Under66c151.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8814452.1%75 W · 69 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7e9…309fbacked Under69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Over39c149.49$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5817035.9%61 W · 109 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Under58c128$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3644648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0a5…4024backed Over47c127.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x334f…0d32backed Under53c124.06$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8713652.2%71 W · 65 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a82…b6bdbacked Over47c117.02$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over39c116.38$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.341,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under39c112.67$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4463745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf247…e269backed Over46c106.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2824731.2%77 W · 170 L+11.8wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb53c…c76ebacked Over54c105.21$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8148740.7%198 W · 289 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Under58c101$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4210143.6%44 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64c6…244cbacked Under59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419445.7%43 W · 51 L-11.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-21.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4744654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ba1…b0b6backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1aba…0831backed Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4618558.4%108 W · 77 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb990…3d1cbacked Over45c99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.552450%12 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc0e2…31e4backed Under53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3411251.8%58 W · 54 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…6296backed Under53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3410253.9%55 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfd…9f5abacked Over46c86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.562352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Under47c85.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1420241.1%83 W · 119 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over50c85.04$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.551,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29f1…0da2backed Under65c80$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+19.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under37c78.31$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.093,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e02…c5f2backed Over46c76$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.963036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc518…bdecbacked Over46c65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.93129%9 W · 22 L-7.2wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-47.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb9e4…3034backed Under53c65$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.552100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9f6…9cdabacked Over45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+25.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Under57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.88759.8%52 W · 35 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa5f…3de3backed Under62c58$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.047247.2%34 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b89…23fbbacked Under53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.61573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+49.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb883…9d12backed Over46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550%0 W · 5 L-2.9wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over35c49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.111,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58b7…103cbacked Under53c47.62$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.312458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d0…9b74backed Over39c47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.334353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6e…148bbacked Over46c45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.72944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43dc…88cfbacked Over46c44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.243551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed Under50c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219135.2%32 W · 59 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a5f…b0ebbacked Under48c41.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9202…8ef9backed Under63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6813646.3%63 W · 73 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e2e…d99abacked Over48c35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.830%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9c…aaf9backed Under56c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.451952.6%10 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick68cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa188…3fccbacked Under63c34.66$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8836356.5%205 W · 158 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a5a…4ea5backed Under74c33.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.756100%6 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc5d…be79backed Over43c31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.334459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Under49c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.815549.1%27 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.