NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfadcaf9d60731755d3d5119cc6d8bc16aa49b8d41cb9ea3d34aa8d3c64fcb43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 54c | 21,995$11,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,891.3 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb351…5fbfbacked Under | 52c | 19,610$10,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,251.66 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…19c6backed Under | 52c | 13,000$6,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,710 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc5…0f2fbacked Over | 50c | 9,854$4,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,927 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Over | 47c | 8,786$4,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,642.21 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x208e…5c4fbacked Under | 56c | 7,143$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 6,720$3,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,606.4 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 51c | 5,220$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,667.04 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 49c | 4,437$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,276.59 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…8776backed Over | 48c | 4,100$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b8…e3dabacked Under | 52c | 4,100$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Over | 50c | 3,992$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 49c | 2,728$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.4 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 49c | 2,349$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.8 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Over | 46c | 1,378$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.26 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Over | 48c | 1,371$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.92 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 47c | 1,287$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Over | 47c | 1,276$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.39 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Over | 49c | 1,151$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.01 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 53c | 1,064$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.15 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 1,005$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.6 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Over | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 943.4$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.4 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 48c | 820.95$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.46 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 794.92$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.38 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 50c | 786$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.91 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 17c | 779.21$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.61 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 52c | 702$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.96 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 47c | 624$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.81 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Over | 44c | 431.26$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 69c | 362$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.22 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 47c | 280$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.4 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 50c | 249.86$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.93 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44cd…2bb0backed Over | 49c | 220$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Under | 52c | 220$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068f…4594backed Under | 52c | 211.71$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.09 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b9…9772backed Under | 52c | 193.83$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 48c | 175.96$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 44c | 174.68$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.82 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 56c | 149$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.44 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Over | 49c | 140$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcab2…a154backed Under | 52c | 130.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Over | 48c | 119.23$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a82…b6bdbacked Over | 49c | 112.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d20…6911backed Under | 52c | 111.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 51c | 107$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Under | 56c | 105$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 56c | 103$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aac…049fbacked Under | 51c | 101.75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba1…b0b6backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 52c | 97.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc69…78b3backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Over | 44c | 89.41$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.07 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 88$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Over | 49c | 86.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…1e85backed Under | 51c | 80.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4692…795ebacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Under | 53c | 77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 56c | 61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…d89bbacked Under | 56c | 54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…cbf7backed Over | 49c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed Over | 49c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Under | 51c | 45.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Over | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Over | 44c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Over | 44c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 62c | 41.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f73…d330backed Under | 52c | 40.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb14…e0c6backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x673f…db13backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfd…0427backed Over | 50c | 39.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…124dbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c44…739abacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b7…103cbacked Under | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Over | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53df…fac3backed Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c9…bacfbacked Over | 43c | 31.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Over | 48c | 30.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe224…2e1dbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…218cbacked Over | 44c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed Over | 41c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Over | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Over | 44c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Devin Booker: Assists Over 6.5No won
- Devin Booker: Points Over 22.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
- Suns vs. ThunderThunder won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.