TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,407
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,986

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,407 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6ee…697bbacked Under53c17,776$9,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,421.2720352.2%106 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82b0…5c12backed Over47c10,223$4,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,418.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c7,131$3,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,630.036,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under51c6,692$3,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,412.451,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under50c6,547$3,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,272.492,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c65…81d2backed Over52c6,338$3,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,042.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6b5…8447backed Over51c5,922$3,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,901.57450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c5,441$2,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,712.019,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x208e…5c4fbacked Over47c5,319$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.15450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbcd…0c9fbacked Over48c5,211$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,710.72540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over52c4,039$2,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,937.4785742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed Under59c4,000$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3606352.4%33 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over42c3,914$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,283.178,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb351…5fbfbacked Under48c3,080$1,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,478.993043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over48c2,880$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.23,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over45c2,164$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.269049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06048347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…30d2backed Over51c1,918$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Under53c1,823$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.9469852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked Over47c1,332$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.9116254.3%88 W · 74 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Over47c1,295$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.2436351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under48c1,225$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58892753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Over50c1,068$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.1425642.6%109 W · 147 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ce…6f34backed Over50c997.17$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.413748.9%67 W · 70 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Over47c946.98$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.935651.1%182 W · 174 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under58c756.31$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.6614753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Over48c700$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36425039.6%99 W · 151 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Under48c613.89$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.6736741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Over42c599.99$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.997741.6%32 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Over51c580$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.210149.5%50 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c577.69$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.074,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under49c531.04$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.622836.4%83 W · 145 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2652,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7147…9a01backed Over47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2651338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee60…71d1backed Over48c470.83$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.83250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x586d…c5dcbacked Over47c452.68$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.187248.6%35 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over52c264$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.7258347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over52c217.25$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.822,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10067921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4556…2b35backed Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9612952.7%68 W · 61 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under48c195$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.651,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Over50c175$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.558951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under54c175$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.51,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under58c172.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7547349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over49c153.29$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.482,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15a3…718ebacked Under49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.511351.3%58 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x102f…9b6ebacked Under49c128$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.726053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Under48c119$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.126446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a82…b6bdbacked Over51c107.84$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.848251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Under40c100.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0363427.3%173 W · 461 L-19.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ba1…b0b6backed Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.61,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4947738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc1d…ff79backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over42c98.33$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0380744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cdb…7a7abacked Over51c90$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.15844.8%26 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Under50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457557.3%43 W · 32 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Over50c84.7$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3576247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48a9…0d53backed Under48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.44957.1%28 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Over53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4751651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed Over51c64.71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7128856.9%164 W · 124 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under49c61.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.941,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed Under53c56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.687753.2%41 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x608b…6e88backed Over51c55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.953956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc483…8ac8backed Over52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.538845.6%177 W · 211 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe9…a400backed Over52c46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.082857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Over52c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7850047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa48…9062backed Over47c42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.265850%29 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f41…5cb3backed Under49c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.582948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78b2…dd6dbacked Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.223357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd53…a861backed Under53c39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.676349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f1…6349backed Over42c35.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7117350.9%88 W · 85 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84b7…704ebacked Over52c33.75$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.21323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-56.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf71c…488bbacked Over51c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.172035%7 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-32.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f73…d330backed Under50c32.84$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.42540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Over51c32.28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8251146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddf6…9bd5backed Over50c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162544%11 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd595…7893backed Over47c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.433964.1%25 W · 14 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa7e8…c457backed Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…042fbacked Over52c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.923650%18 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96d2…dc9bbacked Over52c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.923450%17 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc518…bdecbacked Over51c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.783129%9 W · 22 L-7.2wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-47.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd26c…fc57backed Over50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f81…09b9backed Under54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4182…ae54backed Over52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-33.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9255…87a4backed Over52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.62759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd104…0c60backed Over52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.62157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfadc…a4e8backed Over52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.62540%10 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over52c19.75$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4810234.3%35 W · 67 L-12.7wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-28.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.