NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc56539743f7b96c1c95f21649bd27882ce88ee52c5b608a5b56b2ee871c3188
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Suns, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,174,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,237,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,174,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 386 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Suns | 11c | 461,694$50,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,527.64 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Suns | 14c | 182,952$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Suns | 2c | 164,949$4,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,069.38 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…ded1backed Suns | 13c | 163,462$21,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,000 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Suns | 11c | 134,438$15,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,403.63 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Suns | 12c | 101,519$12,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,180.96 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Suns | 12c | 86,132$10,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,461.1 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Suns | 12c | 83,334$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000.08 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Suns | 11c | 60,000$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,799.99 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Suns | 2c | 40,242$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.19 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Suns | 11c | 37,397$4,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,236.27 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…51f0backed Suns | 12c | 29,167$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Suns | 9c | 27,519$2,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,533.92 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Suns | 10c | 27,418$2,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,821.21 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…4517backed Suns | 2c | 24,563$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Suns | 10c | 24,032$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.31 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Suns | 2c | 23,413$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.27 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Suns | 11c | 22,222$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.42 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Suns | 11c | 21,111$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,322.21 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Suns | 12c | 20,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Suns | 11c | 18,177$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.47 | 153 | 36.6%56 W · 97 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Suns | 12c | 17,500$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Suns | 0c | 15,876$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Suns | 12c | 15,550$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d31…d762backed Suns | 1c | 12,239$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Suns | 8c | 11,271$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.72 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5413backed Suns | 1c | 11,153$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Suns | 10c | 11,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a976backed Suns | 1c | 10,329$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.72 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Suns | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Suns | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ca…9c6abacked Suns | 10c | 9,991$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Suns | 11c | 9,919$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.95 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Suns | 1c | 9,832$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Suns | 11c | 9,620$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.2 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8f…52f4backed Suns | 11c | 9,135$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901c…3cfebacked Suns | 11c | 9,125$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.71 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Suns | 10c | 9,020$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…48e3backed Suns | 12c | 8,517$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Suns | 6c | 8,364$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Suns | 3c | 8,056$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…e9adbacked Suns | 11c | 8,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Suns | 0c | 8,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Suns | 0c | 7,881$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 108 | 8.3%9 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae3e…a5f4backed Suns | 12c | 7,800$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Suns | 13c | 7,797$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.51 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a23…fa9bbacked Suns | 7c | 7,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Suns | 0c | 6,150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbb…06c5backed Suns | 12c | 5,803$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.35 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…8a09backed Suns | 8c | 5,778$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 219 | 23.7%52 W · 167 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Suns | 0c | 5,053$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Suns | 1c | 5,019$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 169 | 43.8%74 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc49…ffd6backed Suns | 13c | 5,008$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Suns | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d14…c06dbacked Suns | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Suns | 9c | 5,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Suns | 11c | 5,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6efe…c249backed Suns | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Suns | 13c | 4,813$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.64 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Suns | 11c | 4,573$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…08aabacked Suns | 3c | 4,485$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.55 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Suns | 4c | 3,906$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.05 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Suns | 6c | 3,769$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…245ebacked Suns | 13c | 3,400$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Suns | 12c | 3,400$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebf…e50fbacked Suns | 3c | 3,342$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 651 | 44.5%290 W · 361 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…eaa2backed Suns | 7c | 3,253$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.81 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Suns | 11c | 3,122$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.42 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Suns | 5c | 3,095$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.45 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Suns | 10c | 3,080$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba9…0a15backed Suns | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Suns | 3c | 3,000$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 306 | 19.9%61 W · 245 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Suns | 11c | 2,877$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.51 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4de0…b043backed Suns | 13c | 2,860$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…adeabacked Suns | 2c | 2,710$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.02 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Suns | 8c | 2,700$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.34 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Suns | 9c | 2,500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Suns | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 251 | 46.2%116 W · 135 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Suns | 11c | 2,468$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.47 | 535 | 39.6%212 W · 323 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Suns | 13c | 2,300$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ce…3c44backed Suns | 11c | 2,273$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Suns | 13c | 2,250$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee64…3253backed Suns | 12c | 2,200$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Suns | 10c | 2,143$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.3 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Suns | 12c | 2,083$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Suns | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Suns | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Suns | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac01…2d77backed Suns | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac88…9b35backed Suns | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…e903backed Suns | 11c | 1,885$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Suns | 11c | 1,880$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Suns | 12c | 1,875$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Suns | 11c | 1,805$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.84 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…e269backed Suns | 12c | 1,637$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.87 | 247 | 31.2%77 W · 170 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca8…ddddbacked Suns | 12c | 1,603$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 278 | 46.8%130 W · 148 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44d…1034backed Suns | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Suns | 12c | 1,500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…6aa9backed Suns | 13c | 1,476$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Suns | 10c | 1,400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Thunderthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Devin Booker: Assists Over 6.5No won
- Devin Booker: Points Over 22.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.