NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 116.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x869be3a6e9ad4779092ba1aefe3f676e62154041c4c7f92392b6f171fc6f2623
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2259…8f85backed Over | 49c | 207$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 15c | 195.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…9319backed Under | 51c | 192$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…cf92backed Over | 47c | 177$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a2…90ffbacked Over | 47c | 175$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f21…8acabacked Under | 53c | 169$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e5…cb19backed Under | 53c | 165$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Under | 53c | 127$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.31 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 51c | 118$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…244cbacked Under | 57c | 114.21$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.77 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -11.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Under | 52c | 101$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 52c | 98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 52c | 96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 56c | 61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 51c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 52c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Under | 52c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Over | 48c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed Over | 49c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Over | 48c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed Over | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Over | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Under | 54c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Under | 52c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Under | 52c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked Over | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…70a0backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.5wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Over | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 54c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Over | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked Over | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked Over | 47c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Over | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Over | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Over | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Over | 48c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Over | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 116.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Devin Booker: Assists Over 6.5No won
- Devin Booker: Points Over 22.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
- Suns vs. ThunderThunder won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.