NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa729fc2ae5a96e87ca98d61adb2d4cf9ba196f7d70ae1905fc78a09e53a5e137
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $289,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $297,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Suns | 56c | 165,968$92,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,942.16 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Thunder | 44c | 150,000$66,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,000 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Thunder | 45c | 28,424$12,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,726.63 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Suns | 56c | 24,225$13,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,523.61 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Suns | 55c | 19,605$10,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,850.78 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Thunder | 43c | 15,577$6,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,914.71 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 57c | 8,466$4,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,630.17 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb01…7013backed Suns | 1c | 8,440$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Thunder | 44c | 7,678$3,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,299.6 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 56c | 6,923$3,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,875.86 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Thunder | 45c | 6,020$2,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,311 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Suns | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Thunder | 44c | 4,586$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568.39 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Suns | 58c | 4,018$2,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336.97 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Thunder | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Thunder | 44c | 2,313$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.01 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Thunder | 43c | 2,167$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.1 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Suns | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Suns | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Thunder | 41c | 1,846$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.24 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Suns | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c20…7d4fbacked Suns | 59c | 1,490$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.19 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d1…6c1cbacked Thunder | 43c | 1,489$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Suns | 59c | 1,356$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Suns | 55c | 1,230$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.42 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Suns | 1c | 1,213$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Thunder | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Thunder | 42c | 855$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.9 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f05…4480backed Suns | 57c | 810.53$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Suns | 41c | 804.61$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.38 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5d…4c40backed Suns | 47c | 543.78$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Thunder | 43c | 525.31$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.63 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Suns | 59c | 510$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.9 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…b936backed Suns | 58c | 454.77$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.02 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Thunder | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Suns | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Suns | 46c | 388$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.48 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Thunder | 42c | 366.67$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.67 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…244cbacked Suns | 58c | 343.45$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.2 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -11.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Suns | 56c | 270$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871c…7f0abacked Suns | 58c | 260$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 120 | 63.3%76 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Suns | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Suns | 11c | 250$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Suns | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Suns | 59c | 249$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.91 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Thunder | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Suns | 58c | 233$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.14 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd395…3731backed Suns | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Suns | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…8507backed Suns | 57c | 200$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Suns | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Suns | 55c | 193$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.15 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Suns | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4b…14e2backed Suns | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Thunder | 42c | 173$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.34 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Suns | 58c | 170$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Suns | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 215 | 34%73 W · 142 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Thunder | 43c | 140.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.44 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Thunder | 42c | 137.55$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.33 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Thunder | 42c | 137.09$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.22 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Thunder | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Thunder | 41c | 124$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.79 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a82…b6bdbacked Thunder | 43c | 118.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Suns | 58c | 114$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Suns | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…06c2backed Suns | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed Thunder | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a04…d57dbacked Suns | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Suns | 58c | 94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Thunder | 42c | 91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.78 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Suns | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Suns | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Suns | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Thunder | 42c | 86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Thunder | 43c | 85.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.74 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Suns | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…f737backed Suns | 59c | 69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc297…b0d2backed Suns | 55c | 67.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Thunder | 41c | 59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Thunder | 43c | 58.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Suns | 58c | 55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Suns | 59c | 51.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Suns | 59c | 50.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 253 | 51%129 W · 124 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Thunder | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Suns | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Thunder | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Thunder | 42c | 49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Suns | 58c | 48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Suns | 57c | 48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…0b8dbacked Thunder | 73c | 46.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Suns | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Suns | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Thunder | 41c | 39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed Thunder | 42c | 39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Suns | 57c | 39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…8c58backed Thunder | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cb…9c55backed Suns | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed Thunder | 42c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…f8e1backed Thunder | 43c | 34.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…256ebacked Suns | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Devin Booker: Assists Over 6.5No won
- Devin Booker: Points Over 22.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Suns vs. ThunderThunder won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.