TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd24e…f8e1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 56 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+81.4%+$49.82
Mavericks vs. 76ersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$79
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$17.33
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$65.35
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+113.2%+$59.1
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+99.7%+$172.15
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12.95
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$29.26
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$167.35
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+85.2%+$14.03
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$37.65
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+119.4%+$89.59
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+129.9%+$19.65
Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$22.01
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.62
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$28.18
Kings vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+102.6%+$52.81
Kings vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+92.3%+$30.16
Thunder vs. Jazzbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+28.2%+$3.55
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$132.04
Lakers vs. 76ersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+89.1%+$25.69
Warriors vs. Bullsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+96.1%+$39.47
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$18.27
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$11.54
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+95.4%+$120.5
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+104.1%+$22.83
Kings vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+72.4%+$9.33
Red Wings vs. Flames: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$266.77
Avalanche vs. Predatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$196.48
Sabres vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$17.51
Bruins vs. Bluesbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+112.9%+$230.65
Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$29.7
Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanesbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$35.09
Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+100%+$26.97
Lightning vs. Maple Leafsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$66.06
Islanders vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+66.3%+$15.76
Blue Jackets vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+72.6%+$14.58
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+46.6%+$5.34
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$23.49
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$23.13
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+112.8%+$19.52
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$37.28
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$19.97
Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+93.2%+$12.13
Bears vs. Packers: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.96
Spread: Ravens (-6.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$32.67
Spread: Ravens (-5.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+106.4%+$17.61
Dolphins vs. Jets: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$18.83
Commanders vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+97.3%+$36.73
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+92.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+104.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Ole Miss (-17.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+112.8%+$35.75
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.96
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+27%+$7.14
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+59.9%+$17.97
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win (BO3)backed 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$13.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+194.1%+$24.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Bellarmine Knights: O/U 151.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+51.1%+$6.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+41%+$20.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris FC win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$16.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$19.33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.