TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Hamburger SV vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,170
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,672

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,170 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x869b…c625backed Under47c45,115$21,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,969.07837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over53c27,333$14,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,486.471,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under46c12,672$5,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,843.095052%26 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c8,788$4,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,515.23,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over49c7,991$3,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,897.3475142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Over63c7,105$4,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,489.931833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under47c6,691$3,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,548.9544749.4%221 W · 226 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over50c4,813$2,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,404.62,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under49c4,046$1,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,063.57447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Over53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5903762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked Under7c2,243$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.62238.7%2 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Over53c2,130$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.93458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under47c2,049$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.9633244.6%148 W · 184 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.823961.5%24 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+26.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018759.4%111 W · 76 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over52c1,640$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.888336.1%30 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over54c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81027726.4%73 W · 204 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Over79c1,271$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002882.1%23 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick68cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Over54c1,179$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.8719544.6%87 W · 108 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…9133backed Over47c1,053$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over39c1,027$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.533145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Under9c900$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817244.2%1 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-54.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Under50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+28.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over53c792$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.763158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under51c769.39$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37753645.9%246 W · 290 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Under61c767.46$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.311266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over53c660.38$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35038055.8%212 W · 168 L-0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Under53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2822661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5204…1ca0backed Over64c593.75$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed Over53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c1…692cbacked Under46c543.59$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.592564%16 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+35.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over58c529.37$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.3351136.8%188 W · 323 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6fe…3db2backed Over52c491$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under44c327.05$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.0978248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca9…2a50backed Over53c303.87$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb2…3a3fbacked Under54c302$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Over57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1715068%34 W · 16 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under49c249.95$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.479350.5%47 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ca6…0d08backed Over33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77e1…5924backed Under8c200$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick7cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-32.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Over56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Over51c199.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1027847.4%37 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over56c173.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9210642.5%45 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked Over47c168$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.961861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+31.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over64c155.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Over56c142.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806147.5%29 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over47c127.52$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0112832%41 W · 87 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb84d…8b3abacked Over57c122.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Under43c105$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.851353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over58c102.3$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.415853.4%31 W · 27 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3459…808abacked Under23c101$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.85621.4%12 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5311943.7%52 W · 67 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over52c99.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9934144.6%152 W · 189 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd24e…f8e1backed Over53c95.94$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.85540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2a9…b9e9backed Over79c90.77$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x830e…1f8fbacked Over46c90$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011060%66 W · 44 L+13.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x16b3…07f2backed Over58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502564%16 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd628…c85dbacked Over79c82$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.781241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x205b…d66abacked Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402560%15 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over38c77.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.338551.8%44 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Over35c63.64$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.429145.1%41 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca7…6e6ebacked Under47c60.13$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0fd…5903backed Over53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Over52c55.18$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4310150.5%51 W · 50 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over70c53.19$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4111065.5%72 W · 38 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under44c51.64$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.925052%26 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.53857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Over51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.56543.1%28 W · 37 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9242…60babacked Over51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over54c49$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4676234.8%265 W · 497 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2534655.5%192 W · 154 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under31c43$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6721041.9%88 W · 122 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.821361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f21…dc40backed Over58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0da9…9d56backed Over45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefe7…6ec5backed Over45c31.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.78660.5%52 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over57c28.95$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.57867.9%53 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0448…5a75backed Over57c28.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161275%9 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+64.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over55c27.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.397541.3%31 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Over53c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.251952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Over53c22.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.182218.2%4 W · 18 L-5.4wins-0.24per pick43cpaid-69%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Under48c21.73$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.38852.3%46 W · 42 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e45…efefbacked Over68c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.52277.3%17 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8a9…22c4backed Over80c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef20…6a30backed Over70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6a…7f44backed Over58c18.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x332d…7b0ebacked Over63c18.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.82142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.