TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe2a9…b9e9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
138
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Commodities, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT3839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.65
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+159.9%+$34.76
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$56.01
Pelicans vs. Pacersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$40.07
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$25.41
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.18
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50.46
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Nuggets vs. Hawksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+313%+$35.62
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$18.48
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+100%+$90
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+85.2%+$42.85
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$13.04
Spread: Heat (-7.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+85.2%+$43.43
Mavericks vs. Heatbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$10.95
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+69.5%+$12.3
Clippers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+94.6%+$42.59
Timberwolves vs. Sunsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$17.57
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20.99
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$26.9
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.25
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.56
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$29.9
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$25.68
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$90.44
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+61.3%+$30.4
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+170.3%+$68.11
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10
FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$37.8
AS Monaco FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$54.62
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+163.2%+$24.47
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$12.59
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$11.11
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$51.04
Manchester City FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Will Galatasaray SK vs. RU Saint-Gilloise end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$13.7
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.9
Galatasaray SK vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+156.4%+$30.97
All 20 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.04
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,001.84
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.7
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.7
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.99
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$602Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+239.7%+$1,442.11
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$797Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$646.1
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$137.96
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$83.74
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+78.6%+$43.54
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.05
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.22
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-41%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+165.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+112.8%+$53
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Hamburger SV vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$71.71
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$605Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$604.55
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+163.2%+$119.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$40.58
Devils vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$13
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Horiguchi vs. Ulanbekov (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+203%+$30.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+156.4%+$46.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+117.4%+$20.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$152.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Gen.G Esports (BO1)backed FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$14.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.