TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,892
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,480

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,892 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under65c13,484$8,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,683.573,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over31c9,692$3,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,004.48540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under53c4,314$2,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,012.372,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over61c1,642$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over58c1,492$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0313…a2c7backed Over53c1,230$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under54c1,068$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.2952243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c954.58$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.4276941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over58c920.19$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5323641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc101…98edbacked Over46c800$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Under52c768$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.842055%11 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over19c753.01$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.0778344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under57c730.29$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.352161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Over26c692.31$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802920.7%6 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under64c650.03$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.5838247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc15d…6a7cbacked Over44c634.73$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.281241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61b…e7babacked Under53c541.6$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under48c521.04$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.0410757%61 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over39c507.11$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-63%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over15c499.96$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.998747.1%41 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over34c481.41$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over43c464.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010034%34 W · 66 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under51c445.79$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.4463857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over46c441.3$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20311536.5%42 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over40c427.73$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.847417.6%13 W · 61 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-50.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over55c399.98$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.993444.1%15 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Over57c382.33$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2171361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Under57c351.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.623432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008165.4%53 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Under76c305.53$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.551136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+125.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54fe…5850backed Over46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1381546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c93…8967backed Under64c299.98$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.99757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over44c289.23$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12870239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31f0…0556backed Over58c288.97$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.6771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick71cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003030%9 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over34c279.05$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.633933.3%13 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Over36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over54c277.76$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.994528.9%13 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over34c272.36$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.64131.7%13 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Under66c251.15$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.555366%35 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed Over49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5120%0 W · 12 L-4.7wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked Under65c222.19$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.147753.2%41 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under78c214$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.082254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under53c212.09$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.467364.4%47 W · 26 L+9.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+20.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x4e3a…265ebacked Under74c202.29$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.151241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed Over28c197.14$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.28239%32 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017447.7%83 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over28c175$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499443.6%41 W · 53 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36c8…2925backed Under66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.52875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Under65c149.98$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.497850%39 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over47c149.77$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702564%16 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb903…9942backed Under70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Under70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.864153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over35c141.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015224.3%37 W · 115 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over36c131.93$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.399037.8%34 W · 56 L-12.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over50c124.38$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.195837.9%22 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked Over35c120$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425123.5%12 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over45c120$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.61921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-56.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under65c117.86$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2543344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4462…fc2abacked Over35c115$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under68c109.86$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.716056.7%34 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over32c101.66$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.533243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258229.3%24 W · 58 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over35c99.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3515459.1%91 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over35c96.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over13c84.55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.297553.3%40 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under65c84.12$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1617956.4%101 W · 78 L+13.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014641.1%60 W · 86 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over35c80$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2811242.9%48 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309222.8%21 W · 71 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d76…90c2backed Over47c74.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256737.3%25 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Over34c70.92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.992035%7 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid+25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Over57c70.09$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.951225%3 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-36.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe429…ef44backed Over53c70$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over38c67.87$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7723757%135 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5752…1a39backed Over46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-63.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9675…6bf3backed Over52c63.46$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Over59c62.37$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.84757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8c…8293backed Under65c61.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.153100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Under65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216647%31 W · 35 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204652.2%24 W · 22 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe880…1e3abacked Over36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1878…85e2backed Under77c55.44$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.991560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2a9…b9e9backed Over63c51.27$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over35c50.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.67842.3%33 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Under65c49.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.59354.8%51 W · 42 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid+52.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x125c…f50abacked Over36c48.89$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.551631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x069c…a2f1backed Over36c48.89$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-36.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Under63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.623455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Over54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over52c44.23$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc87…d938backed Over46c43.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60e3…08a6backed Over35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cbf…ec49backed Over36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over36c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.42437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129444.7%42 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5de3…3ad2backed Under55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over30c39.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.86446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.