Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57f4d021190ceca8d3594bb4dac99b4128b8dff7ac305ad21250db793611fbe0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fenerbahçe SKof Nottingham Forest FC, Fenerbahçe SK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Fenerbahçe SK | 62c | 20,328$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,727.97 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nottingham Forest FC | 38c | 12,582$4,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,784.93 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 35c | 7,143$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.91 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbca…9863backed Nottingham Forest FC | 38c | 6,641$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fenerbahçe SK | 62c | 5,484$3,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,101.21 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Fenerbahçe SK | 64c | 4,793$3,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.88 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 65c | 3,995$2,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.25 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 35c | 2,500$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 40c | 2,401$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Nottingham Forest FC | 38c | 1,687$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.06 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…af43backed Nottingham Forest FC | 39c | 1,300$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Fenerbahçe SK | 61c | 1,034$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.31 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 29c | 1,026$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.97 | 74 | 17.6%13 W · 61 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…1050backed Nottingham Forest FC | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Fenerbahçe SK | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Fenerbahçe SK | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Fenerbahçe SK | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 38c | 736.75$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.01 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 38c | 618.2$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.71 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Fenerbahçe SK | 63c | 533.44$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.37 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Fenerbahçe SK | 69c | 477.76$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.11 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Nottingham Forest FC | 38c | 400.56$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.21 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Nottingham Forest FC | 32c | 374.9$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.47 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Fenerbahçe SK | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Fenerbahçe SK | 62c | 277.89$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Nottingham Forest FC | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Nottingham Forest FC | 36c | 248.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.64 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 59c | 222$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Fenerbahçe SK | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Nottingham Forest FC | 39c | 190.6$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Fenerbahçe SK | 59c | 181.9$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.58 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…daf4backed Fenerbahçe SK | 64c | 161.72$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…e1b2backed Nottingham Forest FC | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Nottingham Forest FC | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82b3…0c0ebacked Nottingham Forest FC | 39c | 134.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Nottingham Forest FC | 36c | 133.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…1bdfbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 38c | 131.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 67c | 129.86$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0e…1512backed Nottingham Forest FC | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6135…efa0backed Fenerbahçe SK | 62c | 114$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf72…af1abacked Nottingham Forest FC | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 38c | 102.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Nottingham Forest FC | 38c | 96.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Nottingham Forest FC | 40c | 93.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Nottingham Forest FC | 31c | 83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Nottingham Forest FC | 39c | 77.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Nottingham Forest FC | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Fenerbahçe SK | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Nottingham Forest FC | 37c | 61.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nottingham Forest FC | 37c | 53.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -18.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 63c | 52.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Nottingham Forest FC | 25c | 49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Fenerbahçe SK | 63c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Nottingham Forest FC | 31c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f59…f50ebacked Fenerbahçe SK | 62c | 43.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Nottingham Forest FC | 37c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb955…4b28backed Fenerbahçe SK | 62c | 31.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…d8aebacked Nottingham Forest FC | 39c | 30.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…f4f8backed Nottingham Forest FC | 39c | 28.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f88…293bbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 62c | 27.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf10…557ebacked Nottingham Forest FC | 40c | 27.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…1809backed Fenerbahçe SK | 62c | 25.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…993dbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 40c | 25.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…2e2abacked Fenerbahçe SK | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 62c | 23.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Fenerbahçe SK | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed Fenerbahçe SK | 61c | 19.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.39per pick | 46cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Fenerbahçe SK | 62c | 18.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…0f16backed Fenerbahçe SK | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)this page
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.