Europa Conference League · resolved market
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6ccc6ec4c4c5ddd8f37679d7f2184aca589330267ce479e5659b44f0ad7e2bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 41c | 8,643$3,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,543.67 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 8,609$3,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,064.31 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 59c | 7,674$4,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,166.91 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 41c | 7,411$3,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,052.85 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Over | 74c | 4,067$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 54c | 3,333$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.18 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe9…c6dcbacked Over | 58c | 3,255$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 3,059$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.64 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a1…2b76backed Over | 74c | 3,000$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cf…42eabacked Over | 58c | 2,865$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 59c | 2,712$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.86 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Under | 44c | 2,468$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.7 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 26c | 2,135$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.42 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 28c | 2,048$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.82 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Under | 42c | 1,891$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.26 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 72c | 1,591$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.59 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 24c | 1,480$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.53 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Over | 79c | 1,338$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.64 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 36c | 1,312$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.67 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Over | 59c | 1,271$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.19 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 77c | 1,220$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.37 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed Under | 45c | 1,100$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +50%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Over | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed Under | 42c | 999.98$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…e7b3backed Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfb…b96cbacked Over | 78c | 969.21$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 58c | 940.87$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.87 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 48c | 915.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.68 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Over | 75c | 904.06$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 59c | 850.78$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.78 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -40%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Over | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Under | 26c | 831.2$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 59c | 782$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.24 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Over | 58c | 700$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Over | 59c | 649.07$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 43c | 624.99$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.75 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…2e8abacked Over | 70c | 624.29$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 58c | 602.79$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.17 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Over | 65c | 587$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.45 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 58c | 509.16$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.85 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 30c | 504.88$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.87 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 69c | 486.96$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.96 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 42c | 437$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.54 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Under | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…8936backed Under | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Over | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aab…773bbacked Under | 32c | 350.87$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 61c | 328.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.66 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 22c | 315$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 74 | 17.6%13 W · 61 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Under | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a9…82b9backed Over | 68c | 287$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Over | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8b…e16abacked Over | 63c | 245.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 58c | 202$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.84 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed Over | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 57c | 194.36$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.36 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…a210backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Under | 21c | 189.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…0beebacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Under | 35c | 181.47$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 41c | 179.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 38c | 174$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 44c | 170.91$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31f0…0556backed Over | 69c | 170.32$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Over | 57c | 164.63$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.79 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Under | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed Under | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 74c | 144.51$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Under | 43c | 137.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 58c | 127$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…471fbacked Under | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 66c | 113.81$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 42c | 104.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Over | 47c | 103.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.97 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…bdc2backed Under | 46c | 102.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…7af7backed Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Over | 57c | 99.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Over | 57c | 99.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 26c | 99.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Over | 59c | 99.44$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 42c | 94.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 46c | 91.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Under | 48c | 89.17$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5this page
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.