TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Fenerbahçe SKof Nottingham Forest FC, Fenerbahçe SK
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,848
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,930

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,848 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Nottingham Forest FC20c2,156$431 inLost-$430.57417.6%13 W · 61 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-50.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbbca…9863backed Nottingham Forest FC21c2,000$413 inLost-$412.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked Nottingham Forest FC20c409.09$82 inLost-$81.735123.5%12 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fenerbahçe SK80c186.74$148 inWon+$38.2638247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Nottingham Forest FC19c185.08$35 inLost-$358037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Nottingham Forest FC18c185.08$33 inLost-$33.3121925.6%56 W · 163 L+0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Fenerbahçe SK79c167$131 inWon+$35.8512545.6%57 W · 68 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Nottingham Forest FC20c143.05$29 inLost-$28.611656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Nottingham Forest FC20c140.15$29 inLost-$28.723432.4%11 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Fenerbahçe SK80c123.75$98 inWon+$25.3533349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Nottingham Forest FC21c119.18$25 inLost-$2510034%34 W · 66 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Nottingham Forest FC16c103.95$17 inLost-$16.865248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Fenerbahçe SK80c78.21$63 inWon+$15.641050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nottingham Forest FC18c75$14 inLost-$13.536136%130 W · 231 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Nottingham Forest FC21c70.51$15 inLost-$14.612,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Nottingham Forest FC17c64.01$11 inLost-$10.8819546.2%90 W · 105 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9bb…e773backed Fenerbahçe SK78c54$42 inWon+$11.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1557…04afbacked Nottingham Forest FC20c50$10 inLost-$10666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed Fenerbahçe SK78c40.06$31 inWon+$8.814580%36 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick77cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Fenerbahçe SK80c31.25$25 inWon+$6.253652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abc…509cbacked Fenerbahçe SK80c25$20 inWon+$52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+118.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Fenerbahçe SK78c21$16 inWon+$4.541,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f86…8249backed Fenerbahçe SK80c14.2$11 inWon+$2.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.