TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0313…a2c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
42
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Raphael Collignon vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$106.17
Winston-Salem Open: James Duckworth vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Winston-Salem Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Francisco Comesanabacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$285.68
US Open, Qualification ATP: Laslo Djere vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$146.34
Cincinnati Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.78
Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoebacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$509.24
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$423.54
Madrid Open, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs Sinja Krausbacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$978Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$977.68
Madrid Open, Qualification: Rei Sakamoto vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$962Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$961.71
Savannah: Liam Draxl vs Pedro Boscardin Diasbacked Pedro Boscardin Dias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.12
Madrid Open, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$401.85
Madrid Open, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$689Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$251.57
Madrid Open, Qualification: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Francesco Maestrellibacked Francesco Maestrelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.25
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$164.06
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Mirra Andreevabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$157.66
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$870Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+125.5%+$1,091.7
BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$530.7
Dubai Tennis Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,942Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,941.89
Mexican Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Gael Monfilsbacked Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$70.96
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$954Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$954.32
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,621Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,620.57
Spread: Suns (-2.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$89.65
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.36
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+73.3%+$1,466.06
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,230Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$927.73
All 7 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+71.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$655Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$655
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,879Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,879.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$699.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$568.13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.