Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x829269c7c4264914aa38dcc55fd1627b131a691fb1055c64e1fbe4dc1b0d00c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Aurora, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $787,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $883,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $787,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 501 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Aurora | 65c | 129,270$83,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,869.15 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 107,873$39,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,921.26 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Aurora | 66c | 63,506$41,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,784.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 54,816$17,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,515.86 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 31,250$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,250 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 30,216$11,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,135.19 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf711…9c53backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 30,000$11,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,900.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora | 64c | 20,189$12,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,838.45 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Aurora | 63c | 19,695$12,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,407.63 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Aurora | 40c | 15,325$6,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,169.87 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 14,533$4,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,335.24 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 14,488$7,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,907.83 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Aurora | 39c | 12,676$4,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,947.69 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 12,297$6,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,662.15 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Aurora | 4c | 11,985$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.8 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Aurora | 46c | 11,257$5,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,174.52 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…6ce2backed Aurora | 0c | 10,508$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 10,262$5,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,441.97 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Aurora | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,700 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 9,078$7,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.97 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Aurora | 60c | 8,305$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 33c | 8,133$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,694.73 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Aurora | 68c | 7,033$4,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,811.56 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Aurora | 74c | 6,767$5,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.74 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Aurora | 47c | 5,995$2,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,796.63 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 5,692$3,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.65 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Aurora | 67c | 5,641$3,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,787.86 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Aurora | 41c | 5,549$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,267.07 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Aurora | 66c | 5,085$3,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,347 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Aurora | 64c | 4,908$3,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,157.22 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 4,860$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,466.95 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Aurora | 66c | 4,759$3,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,128.56 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 4,042$2,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.26 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Aurora | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Aurora | 36c | 3,747$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.32 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f72…adc6backed Aurora | 64c | 3,693$2,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,362.25 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3a…780cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 3,518$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380.41 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 3,451$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.66 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 3,334$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.4 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Aurora | 71c | 3,320$2,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,351.17 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 3,190$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.4 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 3,100$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed Aurora | 21c | 3,085$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.23 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…06c4backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 3,047$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.55 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Aurora | 51c | 3,000$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.46 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 2,833$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.43 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Aurora | 65c | 2,800$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.99 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…fe4abacked Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 2,690$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.28 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Aurora | 52c | 2,518$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.54 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc2…4bc8backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 2,456$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…22dabacked Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 2,439$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 2,399$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.11 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Aurora | 66c | 2,359$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.36 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8c…f872backed Aurora | 60c | 2,330$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Aurora | 42c | 2,273$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.33 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 2,159$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.81 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0313…a2c7backed Xtreme Gaming | 27c | 2,159$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 2,156$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.16 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945f…38f0backed Aurora | 1c | 2,130$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Aurora | 20c | 2,062$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.49 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Aurora | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.96 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 1,944$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.96 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Aurora | 53c | 1,895$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Aurora | 66c | 1,872$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6497…4b86backed Xtreme Gaming | 21c | 1,837$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +383.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Aurora | 63c | 1,760$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.72 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 1,755$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.57 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Aurora | 46c | 1,748$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Aurora | 53c | 1,676$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.47 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 1,534$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.57 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Aurora | 67c | 1,527$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.59 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Aurora | 68c | 1,500$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.41 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 1,348$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.69 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Aurora | 38c | 1,327$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.48 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf393…9b65backed Aurora | 65c | 1,323$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.1 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Aurora | 54c | 1,301$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.42 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 1,294$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 1,260$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.65 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Aurora | 65c | 1,232$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 15c | 1,220$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Xtreme Gaming | 19c | 1,210$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.49 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 1,193$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.42 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Aurora | 65c | 1,188$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.34 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 1,165$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.05 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 14c | 1,131$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.5 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…9e54backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 1,101$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.85 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 1,100$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.04 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.99 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Aurora | 71c | 1,087$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 1,050$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.5 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 1,045$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.12 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 1,032$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.14 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 946.58$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.42 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…3376backed Aurora | 79c | 944.99$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 933.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.72 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Aurora | 60c | 916.85$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.99 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ea…f4c2backed Aurora | 66c | 909.09$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2this page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)Xtreme Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.