Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39d498bbf666eb3dff5fb079d001cde6a756d8b98db2367bc50ad679ed219568
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Aurora, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $186,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $221,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Aurora | 49c | 26,281$12,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,898.66 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 11,596$5,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,867 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 6,362$3,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860.77 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 5,941$2,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,115.16 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 5,826$2,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,859.44 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora | 34c | 5,684$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.02 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 4,205$3,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.52 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 4,119$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,368.62 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Aurora | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Aurora | 53c | 3,709$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 3,690$2,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.74 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 3,165$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.74 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc5…197fbacked Aurora | 62c | 2,656$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 30c | 2,635$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.8 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Aurora | 58c | 2,223$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.06 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 2,013$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.19 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Aurora | 50c | 1,899$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.77 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 1,867$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.82 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb0…8ababacked Aurora | 35c | 1,689$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 1,683$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.75 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…e75fbacked Aurora | 11c | 1,603$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 137 | 32.8%45 W · 92 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Aurora | 32c | 1,565$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora | 48c | 1,510$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.79 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Aurora | 54c | 1,459$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.54 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Aurora | 57c | 1,396$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Aurora | 32c | 1,389$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.17 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Aurora | 24c | 1,383$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.21 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Aurora | 2c | 1,374$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 1,260$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.8 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 1,210$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.45 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 1,205$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Aurora | 4c | 1,150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0114…22a6backed Aurora | 62c | 1,139$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 1,038$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.86 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Aurora | 35c | 1,020$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.35 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc2…4bc8backed Aurora | 61c | 1,009$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora | 47c | 1,000$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.7 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Aurora | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce61…8ef6backed Aurora | 37c | 942.15$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.5 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 900$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Aurora | 22c | 807.14$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.3 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 778.82$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.6 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Aurora | 10c | 773.79$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.22 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x245e…3cedbacked Aurora | 19c | 693.21$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.88 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Aurora | 48c | 654.77$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.24 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aurora | 23c | 642.25$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.9 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eba…33bdbacked Aurora | 45c | 624.39$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.89 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 599.99$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.12 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…9562backed Aurora | 32c | 567.41$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.84 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 529.38$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.22 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Aurora | 40c | 528.71$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.24 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 526.7$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.48 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 514.96$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.97 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfffd…a1e5backed Aurora | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Aurora | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7212…2c00backed Aurora | 61c | 462.77$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Aurora | 50c | 404.08$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 400.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.1 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Aurora | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Aurora | 44c | 399.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Aurora | 39c | 392.43$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.03 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Aurora | 36c | 381.27$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5261…3ddbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 330$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Aurora | 45c | 329.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.53 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 315.61$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.52 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Aurora | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 299.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 291$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.85 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x675d…8f7abacked Aurora | 35c | 286.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…22dabacked Aurora | 61c | 278.21$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Aurora | 55c | 266.07$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.25 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…9ef3backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 257.14$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 254.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.87 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…9aadbacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f5…40d7backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 220$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 219.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 219.59$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.41 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9147…baccbacked Aurora | 58c | 217.24$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945f…38f0backed Aurora | 23c | 210$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Aurora | 29c | 210$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…706cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4169…5d25backed Aurora | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…be32backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05b8…1762backed Aurora | 53c | 196.9$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 196.61$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.27 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3908…8a72backed Aurora | 52c | 192.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Aurora | 52c | 190.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…23d8backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 189.9$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 239 | 57.3%137 W · 102 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 189.83$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.73 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Aurora | 16c | 189.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Aurora | 24c | 177.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Aurora | 46c | 170.8$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.78 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe385…9afabacked Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 160.74$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2Xtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)Xtreme Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.