Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00d77cf5af24c3d317efedf908a5b184d7f9f8e03c6ade38527b29c1d9ce6f7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,960
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Aurora | 57c | 37,089$21,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,779.21 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 28,988$12,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,464.71 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 9,555$2,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,783.43 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Xtreme Gaming | 26c | 7,917$2,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095.98 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 65c | 7,303$4,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.98 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 7,053$3,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,032.62 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Aurora | 78c | 4,619$3,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.42 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Aurora | 60c | 4,440$2,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.01 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Aurora | 64c | 3,809$2,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.66 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 2,337$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f72…adc6backed Aurora | 75c | 2,157$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.07 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…d9d3backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 2,103$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 1,982$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 1,834$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Aurora | 57c | 1,761$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.53 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 1,673$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.43 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Aurora | 72c | 1,534$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.68 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Aurora | 66c | 1,521$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.37 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 1,500$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.99 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a3…e71dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 1,346$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 1,338$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.06 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora | 62c | 1,300$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 1,074$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.87 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4814…9a18backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 1,059$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Aurora | 52c | 1,000$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b3…be68backed Xtreme Gaming | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 957.89$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e5…df30backed Aurora | 65c | 916.75$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.97 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Aurora | 58c | 900$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 842.58$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.37 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Aurora | 60c | 830.41$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.41 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb0…8ababacked Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 772.09$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 10c | 762.06$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.21 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Aurora | 57c | 758.72$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.25 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…fe4abacked Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 670.21$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.38 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 666.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 24c | 664.88$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.88 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Aurora | 59c | 662.5$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.5 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Aurora | 57c | 660.71$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.11 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Xtreme Gaming | 16c | 642.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 580.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce61…8ef6backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 556.49$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.15 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 544.13$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.04 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Aurora | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Aurora | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 461.88$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.97 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 460.29$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.59 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 418.32$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 416$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.04 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Aurora | 77c | 406.53$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Aurora | 68c | 403.56$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 400$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.9 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Aurora | 67c | 390.48$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.86 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 359.66$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.65 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Aurora | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Xtreme Gaming | 10c | 347$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 325.6$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Aurora | 64c | 293.75$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.75 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5261…3ddbbacked Aurora | 58c | 293.4$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.4 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Aurora | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Aurora | 57c | 282.09$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.3 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Aurora | 71c | 281.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 149 | 65.8%98 W · 51 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 277.11$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 248.92$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.95 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Aurora | 63c | 243.47$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Aurora | 51c | 242.35$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.75 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcba2…89cfbacked Aurora | 56c | 212.74$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Aurora | 58c | 206.69$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.81 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Aurora | 77c | 205$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 203.23$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.23 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b8…1762backed Aurora | 62c | 203.23$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.23 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Aurora | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Aurora | 62c | 200$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Aurora | 59c | 176.7$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.79 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 23c | 174.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 171.88$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 170.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Aurora | 57c | 164.81$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.64 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675d…8f7abacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 163.66$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Aurora | 62c | 161.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.39 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebd9…ff12backed Xtreme Gaming | 23c | 159.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 157.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 150.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd750…bdc2backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Aurora | 56c | 149.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked Aurora | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9147…baccbacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 148.84$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed Xtreme Gaming | 24c | 146$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 140.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 14c | 136.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Aurora | 80c | 135.59$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 131.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Aurora | 71c | 115.45$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Xtreme Gaming | 19c | 110.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcea2…8ea7backed Aurora | 59c | 100.25$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Aurora | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 154 | 65.6%101 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2Xtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)Xtreme Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.