Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4c3dbcc37a957a817599b0bf9fb5bd6b62b19210b0f527fec57cb75c7ed150a

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $21,817,049
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $25,532,729

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,817,049 — the venue’s figure.

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Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 5,688 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0380…073dbacked No	23c	405,370$94,028 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94,028.38	343	54.8%188 W · 155 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc436…47a2backed Yes	64c	332,051$213,537 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118,513.97	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+59.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fee…ed5ebacked Yes	57c	317,643$180,104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137,538.62	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7664…2e50backed Yes	68c	302,229$204,940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97,289.55	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e5b…073bbacked No	43c	273,556$116,819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116,819.2	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b9…b836backed Yes	67c	254,179$169,046 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85,132.93	82	37.8%31 W · 51 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes	73c	194,323$141,939 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52,384.44	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes	78c	184,439$143,425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41,014.39	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+3.0wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37d3…709abacked No	23c	177,317$41,149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41,148.55	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes	66c	149,413$99,342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50,070.62	66	42.4%28 W · 38 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-11%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes	59c	146,673$86,030 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60,643.09	118	53.4%63 W · 55 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629b…995abacked Yes	78c	142,786$110,671 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,114.79	432	43.1%186 W · 246 L	+29.2wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x614d…1546backed Yes	72c	140,236$101,179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39,056.08	80	47.5%38 W · 42 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No	36c	137,073$49,346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,346.18	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…47cebacked Yes	61c	135,457$83,153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52,304.71	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4207…b81bbacked No	10c	126,650$12,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,140.01	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6640…2202backed Yes	67c	119,412$79,857 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39,554.31	84	56%47 W · 37 L	+9.4wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x182b…f3d3backed Yes	70c	109,734$77,314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,420.29	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc0…22e1backed Yes	55c	97,115$53,582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,532.87	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x515e…8309backed Yes	67c	93,995$63,322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,672.76	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+48.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dca…3c13backed Yes	65c	89,937$58,430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,506.69	67	56.7%38 W · 29 L	+11.4wins	+0.17per pick	40cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd8d5…8935backed Yes	69c	89,401$61,715 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,686.54	101	51.5%52 W · 49 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc78e…4718backed Yes	57c	83,482$47,359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36,123.41	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+5.0wins	+0.22per pick	30cpaid	+23%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Yes	68c	80,373$55,013 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,359.98	142	40.8%58 W · 84 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6764…49c4backed Yes	67c	77,575$51,906 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,668.92	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7765…ccb8backed Yes	21c	72,861$15,473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57,388.27	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.79per pick	21cpaid	+370.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1ca…1705backed Yes	70c	71,222$50,035 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,186.75	71	29.6%21 W · 50 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed Yes	59c	64,360$37,807 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,552.88	180	36.7%66 W · 114 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No	31c	63,468$19,649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,648.68	155	58.7%91 W · 64 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7447…a16dbacked Yes	74c	61,085$45,247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,837.21	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaab…24ddbacked No	32c	61,058$19,505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,504.91	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-57%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5093…5884backed Yes	64c	58,603$37,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,302.54	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes	40c	57,373$22,998 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,375.05	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	+4.5wins	+0.11per pick	24cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb59…0a22backed Yes	78c	56,886$44,567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,318.66	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47a1…4244backed No	56c	55,476$30,901 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,900.82	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9419…a40fbacked Yes	63c	55,000$34,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,150	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+55.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71ca…3501backed Yes	70c	53,331$37,398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,932.74	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-3.3wins	-0.22per pick	56cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d1e…b4a2backed No	1c	48,295$688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$688.03	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	20c	47,528$9,288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,288.44	352	58%204 W · 148 L	-4.6wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No	27c	47,090$12,493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,492.79	122	49.2%60 W · 62 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes	61c	46,922$28,636 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,286.75	101	27.7%28 W · 73 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	74c	44,410$32,905 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,505.23	170	37.6%64 W · 106 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0da8…9e6ebacked Yes	64c	43,961$28,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,900.7	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+56.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd24b…ef76backed Yes	69c	43,549$29,869 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,679.93	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef5c…661dbacked No	27c	41,512$11,402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,401.53	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-75%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes	72c	40,006$28,605 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,400.75	50	60%30 W · 20 L	+5.8wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+131.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa43d…00f4backed Yes	65c	39,481$25,836 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,644.71	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bd4…b90abacked Yes	76c	39,300$29,706 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,594.61	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-48.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a8a…7699backed Yes	63c	39,000$24,705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,294.98	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7809…196abacked Yes	30c	38,608$11,434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,174.07	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes	64c	37,918$24,370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,548.13	253	37.2%94 W · 159 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62de…5348backed No	21c	37,766$7,931 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,931.43	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked No	26c	37,694$9,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,680.38	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+1.8wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes	68c	35,338$24,130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,208.11	134	44.8%60 W · 74 L	+17.1wins	+0.13per pick	32cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x37a1…dad2backed No	14c	33,915$4,651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,651.03	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a2b…af20backed Yes	60c	32,000$19,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,699.95	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	26cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76f9…f701backed Yes	76c	31,698$24,059 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,639.51	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	26c	31,497$8,296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,295.6	106	46.2%49 W · 57 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2907…b27cbacked No	19c	31,129$5,910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,909.84	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde58…f55cbacked Yes	72c	31,109$22,510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,599.47	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed Yes	30c	31,012$9,192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,820.48	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+2.9wins	+0.41per pick	45cpaid	+130.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x324b…defebacked Yes	33c	30,000$9,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,100	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.67per pick	33cpaid	+203%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd96…eec0backed No	35c	29,550$10,466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,465.58	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacd…c1ebbacked No	7c	28,802$2,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,110.5	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-59.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe172…e8e0backed Yes	76c	28,747$21,797 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,949.96	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f65…e944backed No	48c	28,619$13,672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,672.01	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-3.8wins	-0.63per pick	63cpaid	-100%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x0e32…535bbacked Yes	73c	28,525$20,866 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,659.55	284	30.3%86 W · 198 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7697…1273backed Yes	40c	28,393$11,310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,083.45	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5683…9d56backed Yes	71c	28,073$20,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,072.85	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+41.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x210d…e698backed No	36c	27,778$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x88e2…7489backed Yes	63c	27,289$17,242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,047.06	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes	68c	26,798$18,288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,509.99	114	54.4%62 W · 52 L	+5.8wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No	15c	26,476$3,902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,902.49	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+2.2wins	+0.20per pick	44cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes	65c	26,374$17,085 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,289.02	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.17per pick	30cpaid	-80.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc04…4f75backed Yes	76c	25,216$19,128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,088.65	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+1.9wins	+0.19per pick	61cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	56c	24,999$14,112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,886.62	88	21.6%19 W · 69 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	75c	24,737$18,523 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,213.29	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5540…0b5fbacked Yes	25c	24,430$6,061 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,369.48	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.26per pick	24cpaid	+101.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe80b…7e1bbacked Yes	32c	23,381$7,566 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,814.65	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	44cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb766…1d83backed Yes	79c	23,318$18,376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,942	41	39%16 W · 25 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	67c	23,285$15,589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,696.56	150	26%39 W · 111 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05f3…2b14backed No	11c	23,041$2,639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,638.67	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked No	2c	22,807$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.07	444	0.7%3 W · 441 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-87.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Yes	63c	22,303$13,992 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,311.25	117	41%48 W · 69 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2db…8c52backed Yes	72c	21,800$15,588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,212.4	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+45.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e56…806abacked No	28c	21,653$6,149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,148.86	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93fb…3e4abacked No	49c	21,349$10,403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,403.01	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed2…57ecbacked Yes	44c	21,063$9,194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,869.15	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92c7…c136backed No	37c	21,035$7,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,760.24	129	20.9%27 W · 102 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x073a…91e7backed No	37c	21,000$7,770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,770	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5f1…364bbacked No	23c	20,731$4,768 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,768.08	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked No	7c	20,665$1,385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,384.88	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7637…ffcdbacked Yes	80c	20,581$16,414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,167.07	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed No	37c	20,570$7,658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,657.97	44	13.6%6 W · 38 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682d…31abbacked Yes	21c	20,389$4,358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,031.23	56	28.6%16 W · 40 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc7c…1d18backed No	32c	19,900$6,334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,334.38	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	22cpaid	-83.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42c4…8ce2backed Yes	79c	19,408$15,317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,091.56	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked No	32c	19,149$6,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,079.69	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No	24c	18,906$4,496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,496.08	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes	42c	18,633$7,820 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,812.99	62	50%31 W · 31 L	+7.9wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event