Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x158fdaad572880f8de3d3f00e4d3c2fbbae77108d88c29deb800141928c1e040

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $5,786,320
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,973,130

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,786,320 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 676 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x47f5…934dbacked Yes	0c	148,297$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.53	74	20.3%15 W · 59 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	1c	126,749$789 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$788.61	444	0.7%3 W · 441 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-87.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes	0c	94,639$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.33	44	13.6%6 W · 38 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes	0c	90,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	253	37.2%94 W · 159 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	5c	76,849$3,622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,622.06	688	3.6%25 W · 663 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4593…8d75backed Yes	6c	73,924$4,223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,222.5	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b9…b836backed Yes	5c	64,560$3,208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,207.81	82	37.8%31 W · 51 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes	17c	62,194$10,468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,467.63	101	27.7%28 W · 73 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d79…28bdbacked Yes	3c	56,455$1,413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,412.86	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+239.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0490…c81fbacked Yes	3c	53,148$1,819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,819.36	143	30.8%44 W · 99 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+104.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7644…7f5ebacked Yes	0c	50,966$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.76	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Yes	0c	50,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x614d…1546backed Yes	1c	50,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	80	47.5%38 W · 42 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	0c	48,651$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.91	169	1.8%3 W · 166 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86c1…d2b3backed Yes	4c	47,587$2,098 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,098.2	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5716…382bbacked Yes	3c	46,850$1,563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,563	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed Yes	11c	42,921$4,674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,673.72	180	36.7%66 W · 114 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3529…964abacked Yes	2c	38,242$610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$610.23	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	25cpaid	-80.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0657…3226backed Yes	3c	34,464$1,158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,157.74	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Yes	3c	32,393$868 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$868.22	117	41%48 W · 69 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57be…0debbacked Yes	6c	31,397$1,986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,985.63	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes	15c	30,350$4,670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,670.1	66	42.4%28 W · 38 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-11%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1200…7813backed Yes	0c	30,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fee…ed5ebacked Yes	14c	29,278$4,211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,210.76	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4d6…966bbacked Yes	0c	28,808$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.95	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b1d…04dcbacked Yes	5c	25,812$1,370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,370	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81e2…4b38backed Yes	6c	25,682$1,458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,457.86	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d06…ac64backed Yes	1c	25,484$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6632…edb3backed Yes	2c	24,382$565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565.03	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes	0c	24,276$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.63	37	2.7%1 W · 36 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	1cpaid	-59.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c17…8372backed Yes	1c	23,514$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.18per pick	35cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x629b…995abacked Yes	4c	23,354$1,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,037.64	432	43.1%186 W · 246 L	+29.2wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507a…be1fbacked Yes	1c	23,038$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.75	34	17.6%6 W · 28 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	-16%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Yes	1c	22,002$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.01	79	32.9%26 W · 53 L	+7.2wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x920f…ba6fbacked Yes	4c	21,022$856 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$855.65	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed Yes	3c	20,751$618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$618.14	121	29.8%36 W · 85 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8dd…03e2backed Yes	5c	20,616$981 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$981.34	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0922…5045backed Yes	5c	20,553$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed9…fc35backed Yes	2c	20,047$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.64	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d58…cfccbacked Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e74…95a6backed Yes	5c	19,737$1,075 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,075.33	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5462…eed6backed Yes	7c	18,993$1,388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,387.71	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes	0c	18,983$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.06	167	46.1%77 W · 90 L	+11.1wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	3c	18,918$598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598.05	62	19.4%12 W · 50 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	13cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8625…9fb8backed Yes	0c	18,434$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.43	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56c9…afe7backed Yes	8c	18,385$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes	3c	18,157$545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$544.99	261	39.8%104 W · 157 L	+16.3wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x409f…543abacked Yes	0c	17,425$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.42	19	0%0 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbbd…784abacked Yes	13c	17,348$2,187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,187.09	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fa…860ebacked Yes	3c	17,185$582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$582	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-78.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076b…57afbacked Yes	5c	17,138$821 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$820.78	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes	6c	16,924$937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$936.67	79	19%15 W · 64 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	3c	16,676$538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$538.2	234	4.3%10 W · 224 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes	13c	16,618$2,187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,187.28	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	+4.5wins	+0.11per pick	24cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes	6c	16,612$936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$936.2	49	28.6%14 W · 35 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa179…7a9ebacked Yes	1c	16,359$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.26	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes	2c	15,942$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.96	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	+102.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed Yes	3c	14,682$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.37	135	7.4%10 W · 125 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes	9c	14,078$1,209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,209.45	133	34.6%46 W · 87 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf461…190dbacked Yes	1c	14,022$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24b6…e069backed Yes	1c	13,838$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.15	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes	14c	13,421$1,855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,854.99	134	44.8%60 W · 74 L	+17.1wins	+0.13per pick	32cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe644…8868backed Yes	1c	13,363$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8da2…ab27backed Yes	0c	13,354$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.35	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf295…956bbacked Yes	1c	13,088$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f9…ed12backed Yes	0c	12,843$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.84	110	13.6%15 W · 95 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x62f5…453fbacked Yes	0c	12,700$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.7	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd61e…c34fbacked Yes	1c	12,599$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1428…e173backed Yes	0c	12,593$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.59	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5a6…0a76backed Yes	7c	11,929$822 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$822.39	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dae…63e0backed Yes	0c	11,730$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.73	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e32…535bbacked Yes	4c	10,850$439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.69	284	30.3%86 W · 198 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72f7…92f7backed Yes	3c	10,528$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.87	39	41%16 W · 23 L	+4.3wins	+0.11per pick	30cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb15c…c161backed Yes	0c	10,294$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.59	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	16cpaid	-80.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe64d…be4ebacked Yes	0c	10,110$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde8f…8fd8backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a04…b21bbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ea4…2ea1backed Yes	1c	10,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a2b…af20backed Yes	13c	10,000$1,315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,315.43	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	26cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e14…7d0abacked Yes	4c	9,876$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.13	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.22per pick	33cpaid	-84.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	1c	9,850$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.87	89	2.2%2 W · 87 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-80.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf111…c67bbacked Yes	2c	9,797$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xcf60…47cebacked Yes	12c	9,703$1,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,125.5	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes	6c	9,571$599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.3	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd268…3eeebacked Yes	2c	9,252$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.38	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad7c…6244backed Yes	1c	9,090$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ab…5dacbacked Yes	1c	8,958$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.36	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x043c…8dc3backed Yes	4c	8,858$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.04	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7acd…ae09backed Yes	5c	8,733$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.69	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-2.9wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x710b…93b0backed Yes	6c	8,682$561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$561.02	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes	1c	8,054$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.24	33	3%1 W · 32 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-94.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x77cb…c0bbbacked Yes	1c	7,825$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes	5c	7,763$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$397.2	47	21.3%10 W · 37 L	+4.4wins	+0.09per pick	12cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa722…21b6backed Yes	1c	7,730$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	13c	7,717$1,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,001.58	88	21.6%19 W · 69 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x604c…b0d8backed Yes	6c	7,399$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457.43	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa39d…5021backed Yes	1c	7,125$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.78	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0414…be21backed Yes	6c	7,029$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418.46	57	21.1%12 W · 45 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Yes	4c	6,940$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.26	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.16per pick	21cpaid	+77.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf23b…edebbacked Yes	7c	6,884$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.86	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event