Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78f5630bafa15147941daa2fd2926b43febe6af1544cd9d8527b226914f3ca11

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,319,061
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $821,512

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,319,061 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 334 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xccc1…889dbacked Yes	0c	210,237$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.24	13	0%0 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52bc…4e1cbacked Yes	0c	60,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac51…a1fbbacked Yes	2c	56,376$945 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$944.92	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fdc…1830backed Yes	15c	44,273$6,722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,722.44	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7bbb…8641backed Yes	0c	40,852$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.85	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f25…7753backed Yes	0c	39,015$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.02	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes	6c	38,351$2,434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,433.84	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	0c	34,690$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.09	444	0.7%3 W · 441 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-87.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x96cc…f31ebacked Yes	0c	30,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbaa…ad7cbacked Yes	0c	30,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed Yes	4c	27,289$1,082 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,082.02	180	36.7%66 W · 114 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e7e…1a20backed Yes	0c	26,910$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.91	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75f0…e11ebacked Yes	8c	26,638$2,079 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,078.6	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde2f…af26backed Yes	0c	25,850$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.85	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc2d…fdebbacked Yes	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbbd…784abacked Yes	2c	24,840$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$511.32	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x574a…b31ebacked Yes	0c	24,000$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1711…d1acbacked Yes	9c	23,473$2,057 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,057.34	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-65.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b00…8ad1backed Yes	0c	23,220$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.22	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	3c	22,130$611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$611.31	688	3.6%25 W · 663 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d1…4c60backed Yes	16c	21,974$3,433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,433.32	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15e7…ebc1backed Yes	0c	21,000$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb698…14f0backed Yes	0c	21,000$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd98…823abacked Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ad9…799fbacked Yes	0c	19,540$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.54	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad91…7844backed Yes	0c	18,890$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.89	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d79…28bdbacked Yes	2c	16,411$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.23	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+239.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5564…1550backed Yes	0c	16,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77ce…ca74backed Yes	0c	16,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ab5…2f52backed Yes	0c	15,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a04…0edfbacked Yes	0c	14,000$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa08f…19bbbacked Yes	0c	14,000$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e4…2d70backed Yes	0c	12,950$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.95	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	3c	12,437$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.59	62	19.4%12 W · 50 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	13cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe784…16a5backed Yes	0c	12,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67b7…f6f5backed Yes	0c	11,000$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35fc…ee28backed Yes	0c	10,449$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.45	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa931…0783backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c70…4556backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb420…3d77backed Yes	2c	9,779$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.08	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes	10c	7,641$735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$734.59	79	19%15 W · 64 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	1c	6,300$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.4	89	2.2%2 W · 87 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-80.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507a…be1fbacked Yes	7c	6,084$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.77	34	17.6%6 W · 28 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	-16%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a2b…af20backed Yes	1c	6,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	26cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Yes	2c	5,611$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.76	117	41%48 W · 69 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	3c	5,549$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.66	234	4.3%10 W · 224 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed Yes	4c	5,211$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.77	135	7.4%10 W · 125 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e32…535bbacked Yes	3c	4,899$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.17	284	30.3%86 W · 198 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf283…937bbacked Yes	6c	4,800$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.83	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5716…382bbacked Yes	6c	4,760$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes	2c	4,521$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.7	133	34.6%46 W · 87 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0414…be21backed Yes	3c	4,500$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	57	21.1%12 W · 45 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe89d…1d6abacked Yes	2c	3,930$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddda…684ebacked Yes	2c	3,905$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeee3…7273backed Yes	6c	3,602$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked Yes	2c	3,500$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	323	54.2%175 W · 148 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	2c	3,439$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.46	44	9.1%4 W · 40 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	5cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	3,379$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.44	1,431	10.1%145 W · 1,286 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	4c	3,376$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.8	254	3.5%9 W · 245 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5260…fd71backed Yes	3c	3,372$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.66	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076b…57afbacked Yes	8c	3,266$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.49	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67dc…3360backed Yes	2c	3,260$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.82	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a41…2b22backed Yes	2c	3,202$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	4c	3,101$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.65	211	7.1%15 W · 196 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc42…e9b0backed Yes	3c	3,097$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.95	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes	0c	3,091$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.1	167	46.1%77 W · 90 L	+11.1wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3878…2e5ebacked Yes	3c	2,697$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x23fa…860ebacked Yes	3c	2,586$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-78.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes	3c	2,548$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.63	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes	1c	2,521$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.52	33	3%1 W · 32 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-94.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb7a0…c02ebacked Yes	2c	2,393$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.7	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb333…17cdbacked Yes	8c	2,301$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.88	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad05…fb3bbacked Yes	11c	2,286$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7d…888cbacked Yes	2c	2,273$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd0…edc4backed Yes	4c	2,195$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	110	17.3%19 W · 91 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27af…1be0backed Yes	2c	2,146$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.55	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf632…242dbacked Yes	5c	2,125$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2d…0d41backed Yes	2c	2,124$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd12e…25acbacked Yes	3c	2,118$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.32	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c1…7a28backed Yes	5c	2,101$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	16c	2,030$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.35	241	10.8%26 W · 215 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-34%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x937d…b9c9backed Yes	1c	2,020$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.79	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x629b…995abacked Yes	7c	2,000$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146	432	43.1%186 W · 246 L	+29.2wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes	11c	1,944$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.63	476	6.5%31 W · 445 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3529…964abacked Yes	1c	1,932$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.26	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	25cpaid	-80.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	1c	1,895$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.59	150	26%39 W · 111 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x439b…8144backed Yes	3c	1,850$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.37	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Yes	3c	1,785$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.09	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed Yes	10c	1,774$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.48	220	29.5%65 W · 155 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc7…5536backed Yes	4c	1,754$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.58	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f2…4424backed Yes	8c	1,619$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.41	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-78.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfae…a252backed Yes	8c	1,548$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.23	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-68.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	15c	1,429$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.05	170	37.6%64 W · 106 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfee…731cbacked Yes	4c	1,417$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd91b…ac13backed Yes	3c	1,405$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.96	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.12per pick	26cpaid	-81.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b56…f714backed Yes	3c	1,405$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes	3c	1,369$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.38	134	44.8%60 W · 74 L	+17.1wins	+0.13per pick	32cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6151…2d2dbacked Yes	16c	1,361$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.4	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	40cpaid	-65.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e8c…5e8cbacked Yes	23c	1,271$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	11c	1,271$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.57	140	27.9%39 W · 101 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event