World Politics · resolved market
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe18a1286c10eb4e5d6b67a81e0164425366e5dc08f9cf36e979c48d24eca569d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $736,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $412,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $736,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked Yes | 1c | 37,500$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 182 | 14.8%27 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b50…3bd1backed Yes | 0c | 27,780$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa722…21b6backed Yes | 0c | 23,792$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1d…04dcbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcded…b1ecbacked Yes | 0c | 19,660$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 18,510$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…6af3backed Yes | 0c | 16,440$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked Yes | 4c | 15,269$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.19 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked Yes | 1c | 14,211$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.46 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c4…2d95backed Yes | 0c | 11,334$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 89 | 2.2%2 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…1f66backed Yes | 0c | 10,971$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…e4dbbacked Yes | 0c | 10,510$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0414…be21backed Yes | 2c | 10,125$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8918…8824backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…c34fbacked Yes | 0c | 9,637$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7356…0b03backed Yes | 0c | 7,877$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | -24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a6…0a76backed Yes | 1c | 6,235$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d9…c06abacked Yes | 2c | 4,971$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc1…003ebacked Yes | 0c | 4,804$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8111…8872backed Yes | 8c | 4,787$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…2b39backed Yes | 10c | 4,660$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7715…654fbacked Yes | 10c | 4,281$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…30ecbacked Yes | 10c | 3,979$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f3…16bfbacked Yes | 0c | 3,452$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9e…24c1backed Yes | 9c | 3,408$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0c…298dbacked Yes | 9c | 3,281$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,153$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.52 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6d32backed Yes | 10c | 3,113$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 3,086$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x941b…2fe8backed Yes | 10c | 2,974$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 2,849$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.41 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce97…51eebacked Yes | 7c | 2,522$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791c…852dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,328$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa41…e96dbacked Yes | 8c | 2,050$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b42…1b48backed Yes | 10c | 2,030$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b8…07d6backed Yes | 1c | 2,017$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7e…9d48backed Yes | 8c | 1,971$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8b…ccb1backed Yes | 10c | 1,969$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,950$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a1…3379backed Yes | 8c | 1,931$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa524…81d9backed Yes | 10c | 1,926$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa00…acb0backed Yes | 8c | 1,829$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…f77cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,795$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 3c | 1,763$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdee…41d6backed Yes | 7c | 1,760$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x839c…6722backed Yes | 9c | 1,743$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +205.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…0790backed Yes | 8c | 1,698$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa7…303dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,691$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd2…a272backed Yes | 9c | 1,613$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b5…f783backed Yes | 10c | 1,595$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…2a79backed Yes | 9c | 1,576$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9b…dd57backed Yes | 9c | 1,557$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +296.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…d097backed Yes | 7c | 1,535$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…bfc9backed Yes | 9c | 1,493$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5f…d7a0backed Yes | 9c | 1,414$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x307a…0adebacked Yes | 7c | 1,405$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5d…35d1backed Yes | 7c | 1,388$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b22…2ed8backed Yes | 9c | 1,382$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…a061backed Yes | 9c | 1,326$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc569…6392backed Yes | 10c | 1,304$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…d0b5backed Yes | 9c | 1,266$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2f…c379backed Yes | 6c | 1,250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f37…f071backed Yes | 6c | 1,237$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d1…5053backed Yes | 6c | 1,230$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a4…7f85backed Yes | 8c | 1,214$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6601…8eb3backed Yes | 10c | 1,177$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9a…ca6ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,176$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa271…d304backed Yes | 10c | 1,160$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec52…7ca1backed Yes | 8c | 1,134$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 1,128$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab0…b709backed Yes | 6c | 1,118$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ceb…23f3backed Yes | 4c | 1,098$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…7410backed Yes | 6c | 1,088$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113a…8c83backed Yes | 10c | 1,065$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…1bcabacked Yes | 10c | 1,048$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…2482backed Yes | 10c | 1,045$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e03…9012backed Yes | 10c | 1,030$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8484…e327backed Yes | 10c | 985$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfca4…8651backed Yes | 6c | 980$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 2c | 973.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc461…97f0backed Yes | 3c | 972$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…db16backed Yes | 3c | 968$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc696…d921backed Yes | 10c | 964$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…f469backed Yes | 10c | 952$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x518d…81ffbacked Yes | 10c | 932$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…1c2bbacked Yes | 10c | 919$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +217.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x201d…2a88backed Yes | 8c | 913$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a91…e3fabacked Yes | 6c | 908$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7f…70efbacked Yes | 6c | 900.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9281…264dbacked Yes | 10c | 879$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 874.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c4…adbfbacked Yes | 10c | 870$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aef…c58cbacked Yes | 10c | 866$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1d…4ad2backed Yes | 3c | 855$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5439…e94bbacked Yes | 10c | 845$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbc…37ebbacked Yes | 10c | 837$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…46a5backed Yes | 10c | 836$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…d31abacked Yes | 10c | 824$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…c0d7backed Yes | 10c | 824$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?this page
- Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes won
- Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.