TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7356…0b03

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
201
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Boxing, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT7225%18 W · 54 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Military action against Iran ends by April 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Military action against Iran ends by April 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.5
US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.19
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.4
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.76
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+154.4%+$61.78
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.92
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+394.3%+$414.02
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.44
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$640
Will Israel strike 3 countries in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$190
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-53.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.46
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.7
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$128.57
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+336.7%+$202.01
All 17 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$8.53
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$38.05
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$39.72
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+292.3%+$58.46
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$122
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
All 15 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick7cpaid-24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$195.29
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.2
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.8
Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.32
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.99
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+300%+$30
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-42.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.62
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.95
Will AEK win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$29.1
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.99
Will AZ win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.06
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will AEK Lárnakas win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+336.7%+$67.34
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$73.45
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$31.71
Will Hamburger SV vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will RB Leipzig vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-52.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+156.4%+$78.21
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+102.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-57.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+56.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$170.77
Will India join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$77.65
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+257.1%+$28.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Santos FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.