Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa31754e4e3d25202e95d88d99c52340ab5f4fcf03deb3006972fb2102af12c8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,541,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,465,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,541,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 661 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 7c | 359,283$24,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,253.21 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 3c | 230,415$6,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,990.22 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 11c | 175,596$19,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,981.17 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 5c | 143,909$6,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,854.71 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 6c | 119,715$7,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,639.58 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6d…0a6cbacked Yes | 5c | 115,852$5,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,595.34 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes | 5c | 110,606$6,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,082.92 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…ee4dbacked Yes | 4c | 100,000$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 2c | 80,673$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.19 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e0…016abacked Yes | 2c | 64,953$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.63 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 45,698$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.72 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x944f…28dabacked Yes | 5c | 44,817$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +139.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d7…cf9bbacked Yes | 5c | 43,175$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2f…d043backed Yes | 10c | 38,955$3,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,870.98 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b09…015cbacked Yes | 6c | 38,530$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.66 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7e…f1bebacked Yes | 3c | 36,706$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c98…ef88backed Yes | 6c | 34,738$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.42 | 49 | 4.1%2 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…8d71backed Yes | 5c | 34,073$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…7750backed Yes | 8c | 33,433$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,510.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed55…d480backed Yes | 10c | 29,428$2,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,838.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.50per pick | 16cpaid | +338.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 29,202$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.1 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 2c | 28,926$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.14 | 102 | 2%2 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc747…324bbacked Yes | 3c | 28,131$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.19 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +12.3wins | +0.19per pick | 4cpaid | +272.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 27,788$3,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,289.06 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c77…6e76backed Yes | 7c | 27,634$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…bc23backed Yes | 4c | 27,075$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 3c | 22,530$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.67 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8869…c975backed Yes | 3c | 20,991$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.48 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8172…abeabacked Yes | 15c | 20,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceec…4ad9backed Yes | 5c | 16,550$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…2dd5backed Yes | 5c | 15,160$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.79 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 14cpaid | +155%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83f0…6ff5backed Yes | 10c | 14,918$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.37 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44a…c4f8backed Yes | 5c | 14,753$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.52 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…10c9backed Yes | 1c | 14,704$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Yes | 0c | 14,644$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 71 | 0%0 W · 71 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa3…7e1cbacked Yes | 4c | 14,467$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.88 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…0425backed Yes | 3c | 14,301$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 5c | 14,091$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.59 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Yes | 0c | 13,900$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca5…8727backed Yes | 4c | 13,778$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.56 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +280.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 4c | 13,772$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.11 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0067…3d12backed Yes | 1c | 13,702$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.96 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…f8e8backed Yes | 4c | 13,687$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.87 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…239dbacked Yes | 7c | 13,400$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.45 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a23…50febacked Yes | 15c | 13,251$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc241…1487backed Yes | 5c | 13,218$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.13 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +7.0wins | +0.24per pick | 28cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fd…4959backed Yes | 2c | 13,191$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.94 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f0…8406backed Yes | 9c | 12,720$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4343…3be2backed Yes | 8c | 12,522$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.65 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623e…bf68backed Yes | 2c | 12,379$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Yes | 0c | 12,171$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…c8a7backed Yes | 4c | 12,111$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.11 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f1…1c00backed Yes | 2c | 11,871$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 78 | 6.4%5 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes | 4c | 11,838$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.68 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…6403backed Yes | 9c | 11,512$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…dbcabacked Yes | 7c | 11,257$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 31cpaid | +185.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…3581backed Yes | 1c | 11,233$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…9fdabacked Yes | 5c | 11,197$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.18 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 9cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa16c…866abacked Yes | 7c | 11,103$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa479…6a67backed Yes | 3c | 11,092$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.65 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…df7dbacked Yes | 4c | 11,002$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.57 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef28…2d50backed Yes | 9c | 11,000$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 5c | 10,939$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.59 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be3…a32fbacked Yes | 4c | 10,600$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…fad2backed Yes | 0c | 10,507$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 0c | 10,433$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63e9…cb1ebacked Yes | 3c | 10,402$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.76 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 3c | 10,227$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.53 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeade…f26dbacked Yes | 17c | 10,117$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…d66abacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes | 1c | 9,616$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6708…bea3backed Yes | 1c | 9,105$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked Yes | 8c | 9,047$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.74 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1585…8bbbbacked Yes | 3c | 8,943$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.45 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…b1dbbacked Yes | 5c | 8,928$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.06 | 137 | 5.8%8 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…403cbacked Yes | 3c | 8,900$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…25b6backed Yes | 2c | 8,863$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.73 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…f049backed Yes | 9c | 8,796$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.85 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 14cpaid | +209.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…7802backed Yes | 4c | 8,694$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.36 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…2727backed Yes | 8c | 8,129$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…4c5cbacked Yes | 3c | 8,124$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.99 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…025ebacked Yes | 14c | 7,898$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8212…5933backed Yes | 7c | 7,817$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.27 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +8.1wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +189.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 4c | 7,811$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.15 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 0c | 7,605$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…8526backed Yes | 5c | 7,430$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.65 | 128 | 5.5%7 W · 121 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa02e…8331backed Yes | 8c | 7,385$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…a979backed Yes | 4c | 7,068$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.36 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a2babacked Yes | 0c | 6,928$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ea…66f5backed Yes | 4c | 6,874$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 10c | 6,800$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.78 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c3…71b3backed Yes | 9c | 6,786$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d64…738ebacked Yes | 2c | 6,775$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…b4bbbacked Yes | 3c | 6,534$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.69 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +208.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…afccbacked Yes | 2c | 6,500$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes | 4c | 6,473$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.07 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed Yes | 3c | 6,452$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…a303backed Yes | 0c | 6,423$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.