Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa09a7b2a5bca7df1c3dfcb7b597592798f417ae1f772dda909d92e9c1a3f2530
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,957,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,871,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,957,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes | 4c | 181,423$7,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,603.01 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 1c | 116,931$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.97 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Yes | 1c | 100,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6d…0a6cbacked Yes | 2c | 83,422$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.18 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 4c | 75,847$2,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.55 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b09…015cbacked Yes | 7c | 47,614$3,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,412.81 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 42,000$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…ee4dbacked Yes | 2c | 34,111$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.65 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 33,235$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 31,979$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.23 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d64…738ebacked Yes | 2c | 26,526$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47b5…a045backed Yes | 1c | 23,689$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 22,850$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.89 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44a…c4f8backed Yes | 3c | 21,838$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.29 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 2c | 20,058$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.21 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…7b88backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 0c | 18,321$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed Yes | 4c | 15,000$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.41 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be3…a32fbacked Yes | 1c | 14,287$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 11c | 14,068$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.99 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 0c | 13,582$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -93.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 13,011$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb301…79ddbacked Yes | 1c | 12,417$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 5cpaid | +164.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,011$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 71 | 0%0 W · 71 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92bb…1afbbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfabf…55f1backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…3c50backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 2c | 8,663$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.35 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…b153backed Yes | 1c | 8,588$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 1c | 8,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…01b8backed Yes | 1c | 8,168$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3efc…a721backed Yes | 2c | 7,756$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc241…1487backed Yes | 2c | 7,620$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.47 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +7.0wins | +0.24per pick | 28cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…239dbacked Yes | 4c | 7,471$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.62 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 2c | 7,449$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.18 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2424…a4a2backed Yes | 8c | 7,326$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…b1dbbacked Yes | 2c | 7,180$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.81 | 137 | 5.8%8 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…fbc2backed Yes | 1c | 7,141$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.3 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x566d…c460backed Yes | 2c | 7,025$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 2c | 6,553$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.71 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…7112backed Yes | 2c | 6,511$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.21 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…8526backed Yes | 3c | 6,317$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.13 | 128 | 5.5%7 W · 121 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fe…7d2abacked Yes | 2c | 6,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03fa…02bbbacked Yes | 1c | 6,081$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 6,078$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.14 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf85…d62ebacked Yes | 3c | 5,995$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.38 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e2…4958backed Yes | 1c | 5,576$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1779…eef2backed Yes | 2c | 5,527$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,269$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fce…2566backed Yes | 1c | 5,200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…b4bbbacked Yes | 3c | 5,158$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.76 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +208.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…de80backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27af…2127backed Yes | 3c | 5,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…f6aabacked Yes | 3c | 5,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked Yes | 4c | 4,977$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.77 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…025ebacked Yes | 9c | 4,682$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.03 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561c…730cbacked Yes | 1c | 4,401$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4150…ebdabacked Yes | 6c | 4,401$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddd…53ebbacked Yes | 0c | 4,357$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…20b5backed Yes | 1c | 4,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8838…218bbacked Yes | 2c | 4,176$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 1c | 3,984$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 3,900$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…41b9backed Yes | 3c | 3,871$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.36 | 106 | 7.5%8 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…23f2backed Yes | 1c | 3,538$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…4254backed Yes | 10c | 3,505$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.37 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,434$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c4…1378backed Yes | 2c | 3,409$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…c3c4backed Yes | 3c | 3,400$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 2c | 3,368$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.83 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48c8…72a4backed Yes | 1c | 3,365$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8952…1f26backed Yes | 8c | 3,348$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff3…a188backed Yes | 5c | 3,330$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 2c | 3,265$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 98 | 5.1%5 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ea…66f5backed Yes | 2c | 3,236$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1118…262ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,116$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 10c | 3,042$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.31 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Yes | 5c | 3,007$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.30per pick | 24cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca7…81ddbacked Yes | 11c | 3,000$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…a9e1backed Yes | 1c | 2,868$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…67a4backed Yes | 2c | 2,862$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce9…aacabacked Yes | 1c | 2,804$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 2,799$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fe…d5dabacked Yes | 1c | 2,744$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfda0…e341backed Yes | 1c | 2,677$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe652…264fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,673$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c1…0f60backed Yes | 4c | 2,660$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 1c | 2,632$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f8…f072backed Yes | 1c | 2,550$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc3…d183backed Yes | 1c | 2,528$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…b990backed Yes | 8c | 2,481$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324f…495dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,429$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb330…9547backed Yes | 2c | 2,393$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…9fdabacked Yes | 3c | 2,324$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 9cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2b…370ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,303$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…1d80backed Yes | 7c | 2,156$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.45 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…16a6backed Yes | 6c | 2,127$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.34 | 78 | 10.3%8 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 2c | 2,041$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d8…f5e2backed Yes | 1c | 2,007$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.