TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9ddd…53eb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
175
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 59 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve remove Inferno from the Map Pool?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$19.85
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$17.4
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$21.79
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$18.72
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.08
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.03
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$30.2
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+63.9%+$9.59
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.27
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will MOUZ win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.15
Will Vitality win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
IEM Cologne: Falcons vs. FURIAbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
IEM Cologne: 3DMAX vs. G2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
IEM Cologne: Natus Vincere vs. MOUZbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
IEM Cologne: FURIA vs. Astralisbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+112.7%+$43.65
IEM Cologne: GamerLegion vs. 3DMAXbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$174.15
IEM Cologne: MOUZ vs. Liquidbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$36.95
IEM Cologne: The MongolZ vs. 3DMAXbacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.66
IEM Cologne: Astralis vs. FURIAbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+121%+$24.2
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.93
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+148.2%+$107.46
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$58.19
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.88
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$84.49
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.17
Avalanche vs. Flamesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Devils vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$68.07
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$66.56
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+66.7%+$23.33
Kings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+79.9%+$19.19
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$17.86
Blue Jackets vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Ducks vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Jets vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+78.6%+$11.79
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+57.8%+$84.96
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+194.9%+$21.44
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$61
ATP Washington D.C – Shelton vs. Diallo backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+54.5%+$40.84
Will Carlos Alcaraz win 3:2 against Jannik Sinner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.91
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$215.06
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+212.6%+$82.91
Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Ben Shelton win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Shelton backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.2
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+67.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+526.6%+$354.32
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.55
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.59
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.63
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$66.11
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.95
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.15
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.06
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+67%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$428.39
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.08
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.79
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+233.3%+$35
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$213.36
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$89.29
Will Donald Trump say "ISIS" during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+208.3%+$69.64
Will Donald Trump say "Hottest" during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$35
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+47.4%+$62.51
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+84.4%+$85.26
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$164
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$155.56
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$22.66
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+51.5%+$7.73
Over 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.55
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+32.9%+$32.92
Will Pump.fun launch a token by July 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$296.45
All 9 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick14cpaid+241.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Kingsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+57.4%+$20.67
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Grizzlies vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+40.8%+$6.13
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+33.8%+$31.4
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.53
All 5 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+65.6%+$11.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$208.06
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$11.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+129%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+129%+$82.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+94.6%+$68.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56.3%+$40.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+39%+$11.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$53.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.