Tennis · resolved market
ATP Washington D.C – Shelton vs. Diallo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37782ec8fa6455027e3b695af90057bd10cd98c95787003b32d7984ef0515a27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shelton of Shelton , Diallo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Diallo | 38c | 7,943$3,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009.4 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Shelton | 62c | 3,349$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.46 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Diallo | 31c | 2,727$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.86 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Shelton | 63c | 1,916$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.45 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1ca9backed Diallo | 19c | 1,616$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.54 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Diallo | 13c | 1,550$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.54 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0447…60abbacked Shelton | 65c | 1,511$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.69 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Diallo | 13c | 956.65$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.11 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…fa1dbacked Shelton | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Shelton | 65c | 700$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 239 | 69.9%167 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Shelton | 64c | 603.5$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.26 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Shelton | 62c | 552.63$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Shelton | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Diallo | 13c | 310$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Diallo | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Diallo | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Diallo | 36c | 259.98$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.59 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Shelton | 65c | 259$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.65 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Shelton | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f72…9a74backed Shelton | 65c | 200.24$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.24 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Shelton | 60c | 189.94$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.17 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Shelton | 65c | 180$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Shelton | 65c | 138$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3e59backed Shelton | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddd…53ebbacked Shelton | 65c | 115.84$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Shelton | 65c | 103.8$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Diallo | 39c | 90.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Shelton | 57c | 64.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Diallo | 43c | 64.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 326 | 47.9%156 W · 170 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Diallo | 34c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Diallo | 37c | 46.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…28c3backed Shelton | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Shelton | 65c | 40.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…8a16backed Shelton | 64c | 36.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Shelton | 62c | 32.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Shelton | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2,348 | 46.5%1,092 W · 1,256 L | +54.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.