TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x80e9…5105

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
189
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst UFC at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST4151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$351.46
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 National League Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$298.95
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.65
Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.94
Diamondbacks vs. Athleticsbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$520
Giants vs. Metsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$121.99
Rangers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,196Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,196.39
Astros vs. Red Soxbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$376
Tigers vs. Philliesbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$102
Royals vs. Blue Jaysbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$182.27
Cardinals vs. Padresbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$78
Yankees vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$68.9
Giants vs. Metsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$187.23
Dodgers vs. Raysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$90
Twins vs. Guardiansbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.13
Astros vs. Red Soxbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.99
Royals vs. Blue Jaysbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$816Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+169.6%+$1,384
Orioles vs. Cubsbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$88
Braves vs. Redsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$88
Rangers vs. Marinersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$78
Rays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+100%+$99.99
Nationals vs. Astrosbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$750
Red Sox vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,259.23
Pirates vs. Giantsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$124
Nationals vs. Astrosbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$851Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$850.83
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT3636.1%13 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.46
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$178.6
ATP Toronto – Tiafoe vs. De Minaurbacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
ATP Toronto – Nakashima vs. Sheltonbacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
ATP Toronto – Tiafoe vs. Vukicbacked Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
ATP Toronto – Fils vs. Leheckabacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$88
ATP Toronto – O'Connell vs. De Minaurbacked O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$226.4
ATP Toronto – Medvedev vs. Popyrinbacked Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$157.98
ATP Toronto – Zverev vs. Arnaldibacked Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
ATP Toronto – Etcheverry vs. Cerundolobacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$78
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2025 ATP Washington tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$68
ATP Umag – Taberner vs. Darderibacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$28
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2025 ATP Kitzbuhel tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
ATP Kitzbuhel – Bublik vs. Cazauxbacked Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
ATP Washington D.C – Shelton vs. Tiafoebacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.65
ATP Umag – Taberner vs. Dzumhur backed Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
ATP Umag – Carabelli vs. Darderibacked Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
ATP Washington D.C – Fritz vs. Arnaldi backed Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
ATP Washington D.C – Shelton vs. Diallo backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$27.84
ATP Kitzbuhel – Bublik vs. Shevchenkobacked Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$76
ATP Washington D.C – Medvedev vs. Wubacked Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
ATP Washington D.C: Kovacevic vs. Tiafoebacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+75.6%+$88
ATP Washington D.C: Tien vs. Rublevbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$138
ATP Washington D.C: De Minaur vs. Yunchaoketebacked Yunchaokete · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.97
ATP Washington D.C: Medvedev vs. Opelkabacked Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.42
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2850%14 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+300.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.51
Pacers vs. Pelicansbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+141.9%+$176
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$94
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$324.97
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+37%+$54
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.99
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$53.8
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$68
Pelicans vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$24
Mavericks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+60.3%+$97.5
Magic vs. Netsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$30
Kings vs. Cavaliersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+69.6%+$79.12
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$28
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Nets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+150%+$54.01
Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+7,843.9%+$2,676.21
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$158.21
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$264.6
Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,068Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,067.88
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.75
Will Cade Cunningham win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+890.1%+$836.68
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$150.01
Will the Miami Heat win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.96
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2025, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: LNG Esports vs. EDward Gamingbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$642Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$642
League of Legends: Nongshim Red Force vs. Gen.Gbacked Nongshim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$910Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$910
League of Legends: DN Freecs vs. OKSavingsBank BRIONbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$182
League of Legends: Nongshim Red Force vs. Hanwha Life Esportsbacked Nongshim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
League of Legends: Top Esports vs. Team WEbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,080
League of Legends: BNK FEARX vs. OKSavingsBank BRIONbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$114
League of Legends: Ultra Prime vs. LGD Gamingbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
League of Legends: LGD Gaming vs. EDward Gamingbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
League of Legends: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. Ultra Primebacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Will Gen.G win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
League of Legends: Weibo Gaming vs. Top Esportsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$87.01
League of Legends: G2 vs. T1backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$48
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. G2backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$154
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2025, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-76.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.22
Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.63
Will Real Madrid or Atlético de Madrid advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Atlético Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.65
Will Borussia Dortmund or Lille advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Lille · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$123
Will Feyenoord win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.22
Will Paris Saint-Germain or Liverpool advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$162.36
Will Benfica win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$159.26
Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50.7
Will Stade Brestois win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$76.2
Will Monaco win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$340.66
Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$572Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$571.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2025, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mikey Madison win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+163.2%+$77.3
Will "The Only Girl in the Orchestra" win Best Documentary Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$256.8
Will "Incident" win Best Documentary Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+35.4%+$90.15
Will "Conclave" win Best Film Editing at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$301.18
Will "Wander to Wonder" win Best Animated Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$639Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$638.76
Will Demi Moore win Best Actor at the 2025 SAG Award for "The Substance"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+75.4%+$87.96
Will Ralph Fiennes win Best Actor at the 2025 SAG Award for "Conclave"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$22.74
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2025 SAG Award for "A Complete Unknown"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$127.4
Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 SAG Award for "Wicked"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+37%+$146.9
Will "Conclave" win Best Film at the 2025 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+236.3%+$511.5
Will Edward Berger win Best Director at the 2025 BAFTA Awards for "Conclave"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$63.98
All 11 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2025, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MLS: Will Vancouver Whitecaps beat Sporting Kansas City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.45
MLS: Will Minnesota United FC beat St. Louis City SC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.04
MLS: Will Chicago Fire beat New York Red Bulls?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$94
MLS: Will Atlanta United beat Seattle Sounders?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$20
MLS: Will Charlotte FC beat Toronto FC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$76
MLS: Will Philadelphia Union beat Colorado Rapids?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.93
MLS: Will San Diego FC beat Nashville SC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+150%+$120
MLS: Will Portland beat LAFC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+614.3%+$172
MLS: Will FC Dallas vs. New York City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
MLS: Will Columbus beat Orlando City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+95.5%+$513.91
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2025, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mercury vs Skybacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Fever vs Stormbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.27
Mystics vs Dreambacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.11
Dream vs Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$96
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-65.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-18%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympiacos win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$124.87
Will Hoffenheim win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$13.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$145.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2backed Dubois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$141.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$396.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.