MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01b16d4f1fcd74b57a3c38b76e791a5f26654c1004bd128674912fe9c5725a03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Twins, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $378,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $393,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $378,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Twins | 48c | 280,036$133,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133,876.54 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Guardians | 52c | 75,275$39,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,132 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Guardians | 53c | 40,000$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,000 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Guardians | 52c | 34,518$18,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,489.95 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Guardians | 52c | 28,082$14,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,448.08 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Guardians | 52c | 25,269$13,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,129.31 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Guardians | 52c | 21,008$11,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,003.46 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Guardians | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,760 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…f94fbacked Guardians | 55c | 11,817$6,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,317.74 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Guardians | 54c | 11,114$6,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,112.57 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Guardians | 69c | 9,693$6,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,994 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Twins | 47c | 7,881$3,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,675.21 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Guardians | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Guardians | 54c | 6,788$3,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.62 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Guardians | 52c | 4,700$2,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 53c | 4,461$2,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.97 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 66c | 4,408$2,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.01 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Guardians | 66c | 4,207$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.78 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Guardians | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Twins | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 68c | 3,657$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.55 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Guardians | 52c | 3,053$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.52 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Twins | 47c | 2,594$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.36 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Twins | 18c | 2,500$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.48 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Twins | 11c | 2,136$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.6 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Twins | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Twins | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…342cbacked Guardians | 60c | 1,976$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.66 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Twins | 42c | 1,874$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.5 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Twins | 47c | 1,558$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.25 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Twins | 48c | 1,520$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.27 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Guardians | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Twins | 46c | 1,199$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.31 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Twins | 43c | 1,060$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.4 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Guardians | 52c | 1,010$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.8 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Guardians | 52c | 1,009$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.45 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Guardians | 54c | 1,000$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Guardians | 55c | 784.16$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.87 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Twins | 46c | 779$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.34 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Guardians | 64c | 628.19$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.56 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Guardians | 66c | 591.27$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.99 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Twins | 47c | 590$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.35 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Guardians | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Guardians | 53c | 464.98$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.54 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Twins | 47c | 442.13$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.8 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Twins | 43c | 440.32$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Twins | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Twins | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Twins | 9c | 380$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Guardians | 77c | 365.17$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.87 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Twins | 47c | 350$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Twins | 46c | 349.98$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Twins | 45c | 333$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Twins | 37c | 307.9$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Twins | 34c | 251$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.16 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Twins | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Guardians | 54c | 240.74$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.74 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…d9a9backed Guardians | 54c | 227.78$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.78 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Twins | 47c | 218.51$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.7 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Twins | 46c | 217.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Twins | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Twins | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Twins | 28c | 202.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Guardians | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Twins | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Twins | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Twins | 26c | 187.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Guardians | 67c | 187$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ac…cf0dbacked Twins | 47c | 187$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051a…98b9backed Guardians | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d09…2445backed Guardians | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Guardians | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f3…2c1abacked Guardians | 53c | 185$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Guardians | 54c | 182$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e8…0bdbbacked Guardians | 53c | 175$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…bf8bbacked Twins | 47c | 173$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Guardians | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Guardians | 66c | 158$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Guardians | 65c | 157.73$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.61 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Guardians | 72c | 157.47$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Guardians | 78c | 153.71$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Guardians | 73c | 151.73$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Guardians | 66c | 149.45$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Guardians | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Guardians | 57c | 139.52$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Guardians | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Guardians | 52c | 119.95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.57 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Guardians | 67c | 118$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Guardians | 66c | 116.42$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Twins | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Twins | 47c | 111$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Twins | 46c | 109.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9b0abacked Guardians | 54c | 109.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.59 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82e…c19cbacked Twins | 46c | 109$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Twins | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6333…07f0backed Twins | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…571fbacked Twins | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Guardians | 63c | 105$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Twins | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.