TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$794,074
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$583,729

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $794,074 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 321 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe05f…b3e8backed Yes5c40,068$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,022.0929145.4%132 W · 159 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3f4…05e9backed Yes5c30,053$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,635.26166.3%1 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-75.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fbf…f580backed Yes1c14,252$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.44166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-63.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed Yes3c12,859$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.933324.2%8 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes5c11,239$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.99336.1%2 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-83.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes4c9,720$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.758125.9%21 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c16…45e9backed Yes3c9,000$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30650%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa652…6f8fbacked Yes3c9,000$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.4450%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf69c…e43dbacked Yes4c8,155$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.79375.4%2 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick5cpaid-83.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes6c7,591$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.087634.2%26 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes7c7,441$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.451,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa16f…6df1backed Yes8c6,869$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.24911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-62.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Yes4c6,753$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.23129%9 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick22cpaid-23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes7c6,449$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.5218837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3413…5204backed Yes5c6,206$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.021421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-58.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes5c5,516$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.551,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x795d…63e7backed Yes5c5,450$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.97742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d86…2182backed Yes5c4,451$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.67714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-76.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes5c4,242$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.8569547.5%330 W · 365 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes5c4,119$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.972035%7 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e7…37f2backed Yes4c3,738$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46a4…fa19backed Yes6c3,578$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.07812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick9cpaid-53.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Yes5c3,426$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.1712337.4%46 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Yes6c3,402$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.4911040.9%45 W · 65 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6271…784ebacked Yes6c3,354$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.17128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-58.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x021e…984ebacked Yes6c3,328$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes5c3,177$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.62020%4 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-62.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482a…7defbacked Yes5c3,151$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.931154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e56ebacked Yes3c2,788$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.48119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-75%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes6c2,748$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.3463942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Yes6c2,744$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16043153.6%231 W · 200 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed Yes8c2,642$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.62185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick5cpaid-79.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes5c2,632$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.21,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes6c2,083$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.7826642.1%112 W · 154 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes5c1,946$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.331513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-66%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes2c1,821$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.71,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62fe…3983backed Yes6c1,750$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.130%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d0…b6abbacked Yes3c1,667$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa7…e4adbacked Yes3c1,665$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-48.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9079…0ec1backed Yes6c1,655$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x520b…7645backed Yes5c1,626$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.138933.7%30 W · 59 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked Yes6c1,592$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b8…1326backed Yes5c1,560$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Yes7c1,418$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c1,342$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.863929.4%37 W · 355 L+1.5wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc7e…06a2backed Yes8c1,255$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72db…af7dbacked Yes6c1,214$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.21166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-75.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Yes7c1,170$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7811057.3%63 W · 47 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x726d…f473backed Yes9c1,149$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7830%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2bb…1824backed Yes9c1,118$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+78.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26b0…c3bdbacked Yes5c1,106$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.02119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-60.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1204…f4ebbacked Yes5c1,088$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yes7c1,070$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.98749.4%43 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca9d…07f7backed Yes10c1,004$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c63…8974backed Yes6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.11540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick23cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30b6…0d6dbacked Yes5c1,000$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x716f…7ed3backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes7c1,000$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed Yes7c997.41$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6112335%43 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0894…cf93backed Yes7c993.59$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.91425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-62.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d74…06d9backed Yes3c983.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302339.1%9 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick30cpaid-9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes7c974.75$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4888549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0643…53febacked Yes5c964$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes6c959$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.97568.9%5 W · 51 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick7cpaid+105.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a3…8665backed Yes4c957.84$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.44560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes9c926.79$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8047850.4%241 W · 237 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x112a…c789backed Yes4c897.97$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes7c877.63$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4310328.2%29 W · 74 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-40.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8db4…9c07backed Yes7c835.09$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.36150%0 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa946…fa19backed Yes9c822.54$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a41…069abacked Yes9c820.39$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.193228.1%9 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-44.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x328a…224abacked Yes7c817$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.45254%1 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick12cpaid-90.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa99b…65cdbacked Yes6c806.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cbe…fce9backed Yes7c806.5$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.255242.3%22 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5937…bd9bbacked Yes9c751.38$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69326.3%2 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-82%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes5c740.59$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0821538.6%83 W · 132 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes6c740.44$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.061513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid-55.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e18…bc70backed Yes3c732.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5130%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe89c…c96ebacked Yes6c730$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc69d…1262backed Yes4c680.32$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8960%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ede…c417backed Yes5c667.49$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.761428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5695…f8edbacked Yes7c650$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.236637.9%25 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8fe…c3ccbacked Yes5c600$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes6c599.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.32817.9%5 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1834…795abacked Yes7c582.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.842512%3 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-68.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b03…8d7fbacked Yes9c581.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a25…fbefbacked Yes6c581$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53a5…71f7backed Yes8c568$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e20…f3e7backed Yes9c561.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80e9…5105backed Yes5c554.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.944151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fbf…186bbacked Yes6c553$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x080e…2c06backed Yes7c543$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dce…38ecbacked Yes7c534.31$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013249.2%65 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e73…8743backed Yes7c516$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cd0…0160backed Yes6c512$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb9b…12f6backed Yes5c506.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ef8…53ecbacked Yes4c491$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1b4…cddcbacked Yes6c488$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes7c487.32$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.461,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66c9…17cbbacked Yes5c486$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.