MLB · resolved market
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2025 World Series?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cc9dc1b99b3b94f6356497ab45a35594ce2b73bdd3847d7cbaa091f83b01c7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,110,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,314,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,110,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48f2…1240backed Yes | 0c | 300,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Yes | 0c | 111,534$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.67 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 89,999$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…55a0backed Yes | 0c | 59,011$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.04 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 48,000$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.5 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31f0…99e0backed Yes | 0c | 47,816$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.26 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…0a05backed Yes | 0c | 35,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…dc28backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Yes | 0c | 29,468$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.87 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 1c | 25,684$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.42 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb654…cc65backed Yes | 0c | 25,500$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…cac8backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…8d3cbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…f38cbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd1…3b8ebacked Yes | 0c | 24,500$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ed…c62dbacked Yes | 0c | 22,400$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Yes | 0c | 17,500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…0a1dbacked Yes | 0c | 16,800$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…ec44backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…eb7cbacked Yes | 1c | 14,997$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…548fbacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0706…6ffebacked Yes | 0c | 11,500$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -4.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e4…6ebfbacked Yes | 0c | 10,597$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca3…f775backed Yes | 1c | 10,315$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb360…6efebacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…bd9bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -82%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…e43dbacked Yes | 3c | 9,025$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.34 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…ab8fbacked Yes | 1c | 8,100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Yes | 1c | 7,929$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37aa…00febacked Yes | 1c | 7,494$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32a0…0ec6backed Yes | 0c | 7,250$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6372…137dbacked Yes | 1c | 6,790$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 6,574$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1d…13e3backed Yes | 0c | 6,500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4439…9c3cbacked Yes | 0c | 6,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eea…e02cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,780$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 1c | 5,666$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,376$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 48 | 0%0 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b01ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,269$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…3546backed Yes | 0c | 5,250$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c7…f85fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,032$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd1…9813backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f77…27b5backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…71f1backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…8bc9backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd41d…be61backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1f…4a2cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a81…daedbacked Yes | 0c | 4,800$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 0c | 4,666$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Yes | 0c | 4,583$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -53%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…58b6backed Yes | 1c | 4,500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f90…86bcbacked Yes | 0c | 4,500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b64…1a44backed Yes | 0c | 4,489$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…8f83backed Yes | 0c | 4,446$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x750f…4229backed Yes | 0c | 4,428$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…786fbacked Yes | 0c | 4,300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…98acbacked Yes | 0c | 4,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…3b0cbacked Yes | 0c | 4,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x960f…1d50backed Yes | 0c | 3,950$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccde…8f58backed Yes | 0c | 3,750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd032…212dbacked Yes | 0c | 3,699$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…1ce2backed Yes | 0c | 3,500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50de…2266backed Yes | 2c | 3,500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d9…35cabacked Yes | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44dc…0d66backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbe…fce9backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b8…d54cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 3c | 1,994$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 5c | 1,882$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.82 | 103 | 28.2%29 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe62b…afc2backed Yes | 1c | 1,453$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328a…224abacked Yes | 2c | 1,448$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -90.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yes | 6c | 361.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa96…981dbacked Yes | 4c | 285$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd464…57dcbacked Yes | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e66…8366backed Yes | 4c | 247$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dba…e698backed Yes | 6c | 222.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2025 World Series?this page
- Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Yes won
- Will the Miami Marlins win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 World Series?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.