TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,301,367
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$620,863

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,301,367 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd187…399cbacked Yes0c103,536$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.5540%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes0c99,999$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.7993240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbf…f580backed Yes0c68,828$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.82166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-63.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Yes2c60,868$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445.3398149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc69d…1262backed Yes1c20,325$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6260%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d3…ada0backed Yes0c17,000$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.540%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a6…06afbacked Yes2c14,674$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes0c13,811$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.691,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes2c12,736$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.0769547.5%330 W · 365 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes0c10,600$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.640%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes2c10,277$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.83336.1%2 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-83.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c10,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40260%0 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c16…45e9backed Yes0c8,937$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7550%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa652…6f8fbacked Yes0c8,937$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7550%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5681…cac8backed Yes2c8,602$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.845042%21 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c8,097$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.15480%0 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Yes1c7,984$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.783129%9 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-53%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7268…c903backed Yes1c7,961$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1840%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes1c7,271$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.92733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-32.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes1c7,194$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.692020%4 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-62.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c6,691$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.57280%0 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf8…170bbacked Yes1c6,383$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.350%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3f4…05e9backed Yes2c5,939$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.95166.3%1 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-75.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes0c5,658$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3210%0 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd805…0d78backed Yes0c5,599$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.41926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-39.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x37aa…00febacked Yes2c5,050$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.251315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-68.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0aaf…796dbacked Yes1c5,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x626d…63d2backed Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8442…ec0bbacked Yes3c5,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-81.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Yes1c5,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603119.4%6 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-6.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes3c4,873$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.247634.2%26 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes0c4,804$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.563046.7%14 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.17per pick30cpaid+55.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes2c4,615$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.926642.1%112 W · 154 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes3c4,528$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.1718837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4c8…6bdbbacked Yes2c4,180$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dba…e698backed Yes2c3,870$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1180%0 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72db…af7dbacked Yes1c3,761$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.62166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-75.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes2c3,598$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.158125.9%21 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf69c…e43dbacked Yes1c3,590$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.54375.4%2 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick5cpaid-83.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c5e…2c5dbacked Yes1c3,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5387…5baabacked Yes2c2,977$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3753…9cb5backed Yes4c2,799$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10080%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x328a…224abacked Yes2c2,770$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55254%1 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick12cpaid-90.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c2,314$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.093929.4%37 W · 355 L+1.5wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5937…bd9bbacked Yes2c2,188$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35326.3%2 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-82%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3ceb…e7e9backed Yes2c1,833$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbef6…f2f9backed Yes2c1,596$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.63933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes3c1,366$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8988549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked Yes2c1,176$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96bf…8a95backed Yes3c1,122$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a41…069abacked Yes2c1,102$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.083228.1%9 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-44.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes3c1,059$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.64568.9%5 W · 51 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick7cpaid+105.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x065f…ab50backed Yes2c1,002$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8b9…403dbacked Yes2c1,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1550%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3088…ec44backed Yes3c1,000$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324040%16 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes2c999.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.928139.5%32 W · 49 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e00…3366backed Yes1c911$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4439…9c3cbacked Yes2c881.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-81.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83fd…ba99backed Yes2c863$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ea…4b05backed Yes2c843.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7c1…54f6backed Yes2c817$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes2c815.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7563942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9169…e594backed Yes2c779$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c8…7cf4backed Yes2c756$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37ae…3de6backed Yes2c750$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e01…65dbbacked Yes2c710.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.78714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe434…89b3backed Yes2c695$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9350…b1f3backed Yes2c681$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe786…a8a2backed Yes2c641$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa385…c8adbacked Yes2c639$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x017f…ecfebacked Yes2c617$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec28…2020backed Yes2c607$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64c8…7036backed Yes2c590$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf33…c9cdbacked Yes2c576$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71e9…8062backed Yes2c572$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf51b…1e0dbacked Yes2c555$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b5…05d9backed Yes2c514$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03b6…298abacked Yes2c511.66$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c79…ec10backed Yes2c505$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cb3…e42dbacked Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefad…105cbacked Yes3c500$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x473e…d108backed Yes2c497$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0643…53febacked Yes2c485$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aad…a94dbacked Yes2c480.05$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid-34.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf623…d538backed Yes3c400$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.