TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$912,528
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$597,852

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $912,528 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf3f4…05e9backed Yes5c59,890$2,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,877.8166.3%1 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-75.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes6c43,425$2,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,539.781,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbf…f580backed Yes1c30,356$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.22166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-63.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes4c20,580$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.711,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes3c20,234$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.669547.5%330 W · 365 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes3c15,567$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.7818837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes6c14,672$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.058125.9%21 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes0c13,818$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.513929.4%37 W · 355 L+1.5wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes3c12,251$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.99336.1%2 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-83.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe13a…ee7abacked Yes4c11,242$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.4140%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes2c10,339$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.7426642.1%112 W · 154 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Yes2c10,096$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23615644.9%70 W · 86 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe872…d471backed Yes6c8,593$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Yes5c8,477$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.783129%9 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick22cpaid-23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f6d…6b4ebacked Yes3c8,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200100%0 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c16…45e9backed Yes5c7,900$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.950%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa652…6f8fbacked Yes5c7,900$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.950%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe05f…b3e8backed Yes3c7,253$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.5429145.4%132 W · 159 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa581…45b2backed Yes3c7,000$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.3411463.2%72 W · 42 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa16f…6df1backed Yes3c6,976$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.44911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-62.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes2c6,946$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.5810328.2%29 W · 74 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-40.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x328a…224abacked Yes2c5,898$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.41254%1 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick12cpaid-90.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes1c5,743$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.48260%0 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ad…208ebacked Yes5c5,693$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8321740.1%87 W · 130 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed Yes2c5,498$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.53185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick5cpaid-79.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed Yes5c5,170$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.393324.2%8 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dcb…a83bbacked Yes3c5,027$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.57520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-68%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes3c4,700$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.667634.2%26 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked Yes0c4,536$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.14911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-67.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8da…f944backed Yes5c4,330$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.34616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-76.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf789…7702backed Yes6c4,122$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd49b…abffbacked Yes5c4,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-47.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes0c4,100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1210%0 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3753…9cb5backed Yes3c3,699$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10080%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Yes2c3,578$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3812337.4%46 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes5c3,335$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.577035.7%25 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+52%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Yes5c3,240$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.061421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-51.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Yes5c3,191$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17243153.6%231 W · 200 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72db…af7dbacked Yes2c3,067$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.58166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-75.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes3c3,063$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.321,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9596…b1e4backed Yes2c2,340$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes1c2,325$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.363046.7%14 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.17per pick30cpaid+55.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes4c2,313$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.782020%4 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-62.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cc3…34f1backed Yes5c2,240$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf69c…e43dbacked Yes3c2,097$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.55375.4%2 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick5cpaid-83.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1834…795abacked Yes5c2,094$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.342512%3 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-68.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x330d…6174backed Yes5c2,083$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes2c2,008$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.21568.9%5 W · 51 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick7cpaid+105.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ca…04c5backed Yes6c2,000$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.61110%0 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes3c1,925$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.711513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid-55.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7678…e5f0backed Yes2c1,880$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf81b…89b1backed Yes3c1,688$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+40.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5937…bd9bbacked Yes2c1,616$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35326.3%2 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-82%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x02f0…57b6backed Yes2c1,586$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.553228.1%9 W · 23 L-4.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-39%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x62fe…3983backed Yes4c1,550$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.330%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…5b14backed Yes5c1,500$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.130%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ad…5d10backed Yes2c1,420$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8db4…9c07backed Yes4c1,411$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.57150%0 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes2c1,406$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1121538.6%83 W · 132 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes5c1,379$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.411,15349.2%567 W · 586 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddcf…d49ebacked Yes3c1,363$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.774955.1%27 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26b0…c3bdbacked Yes5c1,292$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.57119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-60.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa7…e4adbacked Yes5c1,194$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-48.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes4c1,153$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8963942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes4c1,050$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.768543.5%37 W · 48 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+42.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4186…5801backed Yes2c1,027$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30b6…0d6dbacked Yes6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefad…105cbacked Yes2c999.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1930%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes4c996.78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.441513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-66%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca26…beafbacked Yes2c975$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes5c945$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.091,44550%723 W · 722 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x920f…8e64backed Yes2c918$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x078a…71f8backed Yes2c816$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9085…25c8backed Yes2c748$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dce…38ecbacked Yes3c722.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013249.2%65 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f5c…972bbacked Yes2c699$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e9c…8ac8backed Yes2c695$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd64a…7d9cbacked Yes2c673$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc363…ffadbacked Yes2c655$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe485…d3d9backed Yes2c639$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes2c630.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.81119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick4cpaid+155.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafc5…838abacked Yes2c622$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes2c615.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41120%0 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes5c612.89$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1915942.1%67 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8272…541dbacked Yes3c600$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.09616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-78.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99ef…f81cbacked Yes7c580$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x529a…a944backed Yes2c573$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb696…d76bbacked Yes3c572.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x386f…ae06backed Yes6c558$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef81…1014backed Yes7c550$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e9c…d38abacked Yes2c532$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a29…67ebbacked Yes5c530.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa60f…f9a3backed Yes2c528$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76b1…42a0backed Yes7c518$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e09…bd2cbacked Yes3c517.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0717…cb01backed Yes2c511$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes5c500$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.56524.6%16 W · 49 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-36.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x389e…4c5dbacked Yes2c492$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x940a…8dc7backed Yes3c483.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5250%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x683b…2b90backed Yes7c469$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.