MLB · resolved market
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce0ef61efe35352d6b57e821cb5f27088b544d3eb101d074298eb09442c9abd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,145,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,017,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,145,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 1c | 215,654$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.58 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Yes | 1c | 138,729$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.38 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Yes | 0c | 54,810$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.24 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 1c | 50,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf080…ab51backed Yes | 0c | 46,360$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.44 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…069abacked Yes | 0c | 46,283$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.11 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…eb7cbacked Yes | 1c | 44,330$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.98 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 39,438$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.75 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 1c | 28,515$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.58 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 26,700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5e…4ed0backed Yes | 1c | 25,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…6318backed Yes | 1c | 24,200$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac3…87c9backed Yes | 1c | 24,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4f…3835backed Yes | 0c | 21,400$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37aa…00febacked Yes | 1c | 20,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…ec44backed Yes | 1c | 19,950$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb528…75d2backed Yes | 0c | 17,400$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd78…c94dbacked Yes | 1c | 16,466$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.33 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb540…b343backed Yes | 1c | 12,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…ca33backed Yes | 1c | 11,898$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa8…2ba7backed Yes | 1c | 11,876$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…25d2backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x462e…55f3backed Yes | 1c | 9,999$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5431…d00fbacked Yes | 1c | 9,999$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 1c | 9,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4332…d442backed Yes | 1c | 8,800$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cd…3fd0backed Yes | 1c | 8,425$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3a…aebfbacked Yes | 1c | 7,750$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ee…2f52backed Yes | 0c | 7,689$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe40d…e7b3backed Yes | 1c | 7,600$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…fadebacked Yes | 1c | 7,450$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842d…9c19backed Yes | 0c | 7,370$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…bd9bbacked Yes | 1c | 7,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -82%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…4bdcbacked Yes | 1c | 6,866$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…d16abacked Yes | 1c | 6,598$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 6,461$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 48 | 0%0 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…3546backed Yes | 1c | 6,400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5141…fd9ebacked Yes | 1c | 6,291$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…7e01backed Yes | 1c | 6,013$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccde…8f58backed Yes | 1c | 5,800$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ba55backed Yes | 1c | 5,749$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…f1f2backed Yes | 1c | 5,400$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,278$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7650…1c3ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x897f…4679backed Yes | 1c | 5,100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb13…7c04backed Yes | 1c | 4,638$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…8bc9backed Yes | 1c | 4,600$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d79…63c7backed Yes | 0c | 4,550$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4b…41d5backed Yes | 1c | 4,452$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32a0…0ec6backed Yes | 1c | 4,400$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d8…05f3backed Yes | 1c | 4,353$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa82…e69ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,350$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x530b…805fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,250$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…3883backed Yes | 1c | 4,224$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…e009backed Yes | 0c | 4,200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66b…465bbacked Yes | 0c | 4,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…d2cbbacked Yes | 1c | 3,452$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…d5c4backed Yes | 1c | 3,438$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa164…4686backed Yes | 1c | 3,347$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…d442backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…711ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,632$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ad…3dedbacked Yes | 1c | 2,442$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Yes | 1c | 2,413$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12c9…6cc7backed Yes | 1c | 2,386$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…b01bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…08e5backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?this page
- Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Yes won
- Will the Miami Marlins win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 World Series?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.