MLB · resolved market
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79fa8a38b5b26752e11208a795c01b74011a52438cbda1fa33b59c475919ea86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,032,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $550,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,032,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 1c | 74,311$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.26 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbf…f580backed Yes | 0c | 45,934$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 1c | 35,498$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.17 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 1c | 29,491$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.79 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Yes | 1c | 20,689$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.14 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 1c | 15,783$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.14 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f4…05e9backed Yes | 1c | 14,533$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.63 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 2c | 14,060$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.92 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Yes | 1c | 13,059$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.14 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 1c | 12,713$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.44 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes | 1c | 10,993$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 1c | 10,093$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d750backed Yes | 1c | 8,883$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2f…1f59backed Yes | 1c | 8,873$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3753…9cb5backed Yes | 1c | 8,689$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 7,967$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ca…04c5backed Yes | 1c | 7,963$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.01 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c19…94f5backed Yes | 2c | 7,941$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.44 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…e43dbacked Yes | 3c | 7,700$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.29 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…12d2backed Yes | 2c | 6,791$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 1c | 6,526$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.59 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 6,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 2c | 5,450$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.32 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b0…c3bdbacked Yes | 1c | 5,358$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.01 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Yes | 1c | 5,159$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…58b6backed Yes | 1c | 5,100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328a…224abacked Yes | 1c | 4,952$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.56 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -90.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 3c | 4,723$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.66 | 103 | 28.2%29 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 1c | 4,673$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…1548backed Yes | 1c | 4,545$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 3c | 4,440$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.84 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 4,388$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.07 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c79…1de0backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 1c | 3,999$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Yes | 1c | 3,500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe266…add3backed Yes | 4c | 3,189$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +69%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…681bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa462…0538backed Yes | 3c | 2,992$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 1c | 2,877$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,690$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 48 | 0%0 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d3…ada0backed Yes | 1c | 2,502$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 2,166$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aab…dd1fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,048$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…a9fcbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 2c | 1,844$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Yes | 1c | 1,719$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e01…65dbbacked Yes | 2c | 1,659$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 2c | 1,631$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,600$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,501$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x065c…7891backed Yes | 2c | 1,440$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b9…403dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,320$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…bd9bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,287$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -82%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 1,251$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1834…795abacked Yes | 2c | 1,232$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 2c | 999.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Yes | 1c | 976.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 2c | 823.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -66%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x305a…5256backed Yes | 2c | 789.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd15a…2381backed Yes | 3c | 715.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 3c | 615.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…fe43backed Yes | 2c | 560.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 558.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…178cbacked Yes | 2c | 506$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fc…09e5backed Yes | 3c | 495.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1b…65b5backed Yes | 2c | 462$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0931…356bbacked Yes | 3c | 453.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…e03abacked Yes | 2c | 444$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series?this page
- Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Yes won
- Will the Miami Marlins win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 World Series?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.