MLB · resolved market

Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c9ccd1404d105968de9b1ff3226fbafdc0b6e402a26bbcad3a84a1b62296783

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 2, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $8,901,922
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $8,091,281

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,901,922 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,556 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Yes	31c	1,408,886$442,962 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442,962.33	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed No	57c	390,487$222,227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168,260.55	77	53.2%41 W · 36 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+50%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Yes	40c	317,367$127,136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127,136.14	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a21…d307backed Yes	70c	280,000$197,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196,999.98	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.5wins	-0.75per pick	75cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb285…68d3backed Yes	35c	197,904$68,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68,749.55	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Yes	31c	194,728$59,865 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59,865.05	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+2.7wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Yes	45c	173,050$77,390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77,390.07	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb654…6325backed Yes	20c	163,108$32,855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,854.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Yes	29c	153,826$44,340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44,340.2	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.30per pick	30cpaid	+108.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed No	66c	151,520$100,314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51,206.04	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-3.0wins	-0.16per pick	58cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked No	69c	130,157$89,861 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,296.18	132	46.2%61 W · 71 L	-8.1wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes	63c	129,707$81,976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81,975.81	462	39.6%183 W · 279 L	-17.5wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yes	32c	118,279$37,967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,967.37	1,328	51.4%682 W · 646 L	+25.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	38c	114,130$43,459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43,458.72	1,381	48.1%664 W · 717 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked No	70c	112,322$78,572 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,749.92	550	53.6%295 W · 255 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b9…1d5fbacked Yes	11c	104,072$11,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,010.79	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked No	68c	100,050$68,195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,855.5	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ad…208ebacked Yes	6c	81,098$4,930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,929.69	217	40.1%87 W · 130 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes	36c	74,610$26,934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,933.87	932	40.5%377 W · 555 L	+14.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed No	35c	67,865$23,633 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44,231.97	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.17per pick	43cpaid	+29%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No	45c	67,621$30,662 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36,959	784	45.3%355 W · 429 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Yes	55c	65,205$35,763 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,763.31	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.16per pick	38cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0dfc…2e3abacked Yes	40c	62,958$25,119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,119.38	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed No	70c	62,283$43,533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,750.45	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+52%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Yes	23c	55,112$12,607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,606.68	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	+76%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3413…5204backed Yes	28c	53,339$14,814 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,813.94	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-58.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…d09cbacked Yes	19c	52,675$10,268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,268.18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b0…6815backed Yes	58c	51,923$30,132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,132.3	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-5.0wins	-0.21per pick	58cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc2ae…2a5fbacked No	56c	50,332$28,287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,045.51	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Yes	41c	47,504$19,684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,684.27	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe05f…b3e8backed Yes	9c	47,205$4,191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,191.42	291	45.4%132 W · 159 L	+15.3wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed No	68c	36,750$24,961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,788.71	130	65.4%85 W · 45 L	+7.7wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed No	33c	35,958$11,691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,267.08	73	63%46 W · 27 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes	30c	35,427$10,570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,570.09	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	32c	34,924$11,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,079.81	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3f4…05e9backed Yes	7c	33,231$2,343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,343.28	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6bf1…5014backed Yes	44c	30,954$13,653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,652.87	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No	38c	30,016$11,483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,533.13	961	33.9%326 W · 635 L	-38.9wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…4fffbacked Yes	64c	30,000$19,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,199.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.64per pick	64cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b8c…9390backed No	43c	27,921$11,907 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,013.86	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c92…cc95backed Yes	29c	27,204$7,780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,779.7	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	68cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	7c	27,127$2,006 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,006.4	81	25.9%21 W · 60 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4750…06ffbacked Yes	22c	25,173$5,615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,615.39	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.24per pick	26cpaid	+67.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f41…f6debacked Yes	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.22per pick	28cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes	11c	24,486$2,607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,607.32	33	6.1%2 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-83.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe157…dbffbacked Yes	12c	24,448$2,832 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,831.87	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Yes	32c	23,101$7,476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,476.29	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-2.5wins	-0.14per pick	36cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ec8…5709backed No	43c	23,052$9,951 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,101.69	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-65.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes	2c	22,633$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.75	695	47.5%330 W · 365 L	-16.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb60…137abacked Yes	35c	22,536$7,935 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,934.97	94	35.1%33 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4333…1f57backed No	43c	21,820$9,467 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,352.31	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ae…93ecbacked Yes	38c	20,795$7,886 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,885.59	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+2.6wins	+0.15per pick	49cpaid	+37.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf635…e876backed Yes	51c	20,087$10,323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,323.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed No	56c	20,000$11,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,799.96	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa068…9574backed Yes	37c	18,956$7,032 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,031.69	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3d…12e7backed Yes	59c	18,295$10,789 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,789.32	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8172…abeabacked Yes	17c	18,020$3,044 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,044.16	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes	14c	17,697$2,491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,491.05	76	34.2%26 W · 50 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x033b…2f6bbacked Yes	8c	17,500$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes	27c	17,100$4,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,700	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes	7c	17,000$1,262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,262.31	173	48%83 W · 90 L	-7.4wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed No	73c	16,744$12,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,543.77	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-24%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Yes	44c	16,683$7,287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,286.94	135	34.1%46 W · 89 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Yes	30c	16,562$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	30c	16,419$4,877 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,876.66	1,151	49.2%566 W · 585 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5224…0de8backed Yes	50c	16,050$7,955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,954.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No	70c	15,833$11,145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,688.37	63	57.1%36 W · 27 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No	56c	15,785$8,887 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,898.04	2,470	52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L	+17.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1690…8c4dbacked Yes	72c	15,303$10,965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,964.69	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.72per pick	72cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes	45c	15,108$6,733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,733.22	115	44.3%51 W · 64 L	-6.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e56ebacked Yes	13c	15,031$1,979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,979.42	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-75%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081c…f010backed Yes	67c	14,896$10,049 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,048.93	76	59.2%45 W · 31 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked No	74c	14,549$10,758 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,791.53	114	56.1%64 W · 50 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Yes	15c	14,478$2,162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,161.83	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed No	56c	14,463$8,099 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,363.66	604	51%308 W · 296 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38ab…6f17backed Yes	74c	14,443$10,706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,705.65	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.8wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xacc8…eb83backed Yes	69c	14,390$9,991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,990.57	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.69per pick	69cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37aa…00febacked Yes	2c	14,178$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.85	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-68.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x63bf…e319backed Yes	38c	13,987$5,293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,293.12	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e9e…8529backed Yes	19c	13,944$2,655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,655	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x181d…4669backed Yes	58c	13,513$7,876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,876.12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Yes	13c	13,420$1,765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,764.96	31	29%9 W · 22 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	22cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaa0…09b4backed Yes	30c	13,283$3,998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,998.23	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1bbd…45abbacked No	32c	13,200$4,274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,926	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.68per pick	32cpaid	+208.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fa8…d618backed Yes	43c	12,067$5,172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,171.68	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ac9…9678backed Yes	32c	12,000$3,824 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,824.42	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x383d…a9f2backed Yes	31c	11,809$3,674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,673.56	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70a8…6dfdbacked Yes	4c	11,420$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed Yes	9c	11,345$1,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,025.43	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes	23c	11,256$2,631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,630.88	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ce4…36aabacked Yes	7c	11,164$778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$777.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa581…45b2backed Yes	22c	10,977$2,441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,440.93	114	63.2%72 W · 42 L	+7.1wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8fc…ac2bbacked Yes	44c	10,500$4,578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,578	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8005…8de3backed No	19c	10,487$1,961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,526.55	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.64per pick	36cpaid	+260%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Yes	12c	10,398$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	225	46.2%104 W · 121 L	-10.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a2…372abacked Yes	30c	10,365$3,134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,134.25	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1098backed Yes	43c	10,332$4,428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,427.91	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb57c…5264backed Yes	44c	10,192$4,449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,449.37	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x07ce…3c44backed Yes	68c	10,171$6,930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,930	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.68per pick	68cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7320…28b4backed Yes	31c	10,000$3,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,110	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+3.4wins	+0.42per pick	46cpaid	+91.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event