MLB · resolved market
Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2025 World Series?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf04f0771458711e2d19fb11e64f873480d451d9aee544146cceb29ea3bedcce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,751,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $803,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,751,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Yes | 2c | 41,084$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.41 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 2c | 37,529$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.87 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…d348backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 0c | 27,431$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.18 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Yes | 1c | 26,771$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.87 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5e…4ed0backed Yes | 0c | 21,500$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbf…f580backed Yes | 0c | 20,480$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Yes | 1c | 17,500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 1c | 15,262$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.99 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08d5…e01dbacked Yes | 0c | 15,143$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.57 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b4…2360backed Yes | 0c | 14,600$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…e43dbacked Yes | 2c | 13,617$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.75 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc3…2b14backed Yes | 1c | 13,342$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b5…b98abacked Yes | 1c | 12,210$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99ce…6007backed Yes | 1c | 11,901$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…69b6backed Yes | 1c | 11,901$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814e…ad87backed Yes | 1c | 11,901$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 11,003$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.01 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d3…817ebacked Yes | 1c | 10,803$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1788…fda0backed Yes | 1c | 10,803$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Yes | 1c | 8,388$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.17 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 7,534$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9be6…7594backed Yes | 0c | 6,908$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7c…57f9backed Yes | 1c | 6,570$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…3546backed Yes | 0c | 6,500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa911…b4b0backed Yes | 1c | 6,268$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b40…6983backed Yes | 1c | 6,268$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x895b…193ebacked Yes | 1c | 6,268$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50cb…8666backed Yes | 0c | 6,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447a…9bd1backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a35…e235backed Yes | 1c | 6,000$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x010f…aa27backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…86e4backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Yes | 1c | 5,700$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cc…cfd9backed Yes | 1c | 5,432$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe49…6d88backed Yes | 1c | 5,426$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b6…f696backed Yes | 3c | 5,406$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a7…4f42backed Yes | 0c | 5,233$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcda…f2a6backed Yes | 0c | 5,060$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb1…890ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff5…a7f4backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…8bc9backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…bd9bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -82%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b80…ac5abacked Yes | 1c | 4,871$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f02…79ccbacked Yes | 1c | 4,773$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7650…1c3ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,769$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe15…aa32backed Yes | 0c | 4,563$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4b…41d5backed Yes | 0c | 4,463$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…e009backed Yes | 0c | 4,228$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7684…bb92backed Yes | 3c | 4,201$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a07…8280backed Yes | 0c | 4,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b5…09c8backed Yes | 0c | 3,750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 3,709$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 48 | 0%0 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 1c | 3,680$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x337e…78c0backed Yes | 0c | 3,550$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328a…224abacked Yes | 2c | 3,394$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.09 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -90.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237b…be16backed Yes | 1c | 3,300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…228fbacked Yes | 0c | 3,285$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1754…2e79backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 1c | 2,872$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f54…bd9ebacked Yes | 0c | 2,690$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fd…e48ebacked Yes | 0c | 2,670$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…6bdbbacked Yes | 3c | 2,154$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Yes | 1c | 1,949$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -53%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…6a29backed Yes | 2c | 1,776$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 1,559$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…624bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,523$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 2c | 1,194$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 2c | 999.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e07…3d6cbacked Yes | 2c | 933.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0524…32e8backed Yes | 2c | 895.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 2c | 859$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6382…2d84backed Yes | 2c | 838.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 2c | 781.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 2c | 485.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2025 World Series?this page
- Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Yes won
- Will the Miami Marlins win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 World Series?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.