TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,446,388
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$959,807

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,446,388 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 648 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes2c74,505$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,611.147035.7%25 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+52%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a7f…4cd8backed Yes19c62,596$11,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,692.674938.8%19 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Yes5c52,798$2,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,826.251421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-51.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3f4…05e9backed Yes10c45,521$4,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,626.91166.3%1 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-75.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x759b…2ab3backed Yes16c32,048$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c39…b7a6backed Yes9c28,467$2,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,501.452454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x08ad…208ebacked Yes8c26,901$2,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,148.5421740.1%87 W · 130 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes7c26,466$1,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,827.160%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes10c21,001$2,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,082.631,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes10c20,732$2,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,158.593240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes12c20,143$2,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,506.51,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes6c16,759$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.978125.9%21 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Yes0c16,030$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.061833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-27%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes10c15,263$1,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,577.06336.1%2 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-83.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe05f…b3e8backed Yes5c14,278$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.5429145.4%132 W · 159 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4388…09b3backed Yes8c12,252$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.08616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick5cpaid+146.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes10c11,723$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.067634.2%26 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes8c11,146$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.4318837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3413…5204backed Yes9c11,137$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.051421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-58.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf1…1695backed Yes9c8,496$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe53…9917backed Yes9c8,477$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4219…6e2cbacked Yes9c8,368$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x790e…989bbacked Yes9c8,327$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a84…3788backed Yes9c8,327$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d6…d648backed Yes14c8,320$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47e4…7569backed Yes9c8,305$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0479…6422backed Yes9c8,305$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc5e…4e9ebacked Yes9c8,305$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf77…1488backed Yes9c8,305$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70f8…513dbacked Yes9c8,305$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacfe…b2fabacked Yes9c8,250$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9e…fa03backed Yes9c8,227$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x499e…fb13backed Yes3c7,399$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70e3…5e8cbacked Yes9c7,000$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa16f…6df1backed Yes8c6,901$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.84911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-62.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes16c6,722$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.62646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d84…70d5backed Yes3c6,631$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a44…3614backed Yes8c6,337$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x052c…404ebacked Yes16c6,289$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes9c5,086$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.781533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed Yes8c5,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012939.5%51 W · 78 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes11c4,684$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.941,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb43…9d70backed Yes15c4,672$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6852152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x257d…aac8backed Yes10c4,474$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.254418.2%8 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-55.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8172…abeabacked Yes10c4,130$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.752725.9%7 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes9c3,898$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.574030%12 W · 28 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-47.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0f1a…6dc0backed Yes8c3,890$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46a4…fa19backed Yes8c3,888$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.75812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick9cpaid-53.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa84d…74a8backed Yes10c3,652$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.992352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ef…abd4backed Yes16c3,510$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.3740%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes12c3,443$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.2569547.5%330 W · 365 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes8c2,977$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.282020%4 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-62.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf69c…e43dbacked Yes8c2,725$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.77375.4%2 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick5cpaid-83.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed Yes9c2,710$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.19185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick5cpaid-79.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes14c2,580$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.6492754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc66…47a9backed Yes12c2,446$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c2,440$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.243929.4%37 W · 355 L+1.5wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes4c2,371$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick12cpaid-68%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72db…af7dbacked Yes8c2,074$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-75.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Yes14c2,073$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28043153.6%231 W · 200 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dce…38ecbacked Yes11c2,018$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22013249.2%65 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4851…1e94backed Yes16c2,000$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.46850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes10c1,976$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19163942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ed…1e13backed Yes17c1,941$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3328…5f6cbacked Yes17c1,940$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85f…8b0fbacked Yes17c1,940$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b5…66d7backed Yes17c1,930$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78e5…2d4dbacked Yes18c1,916$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes6c1,908$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0226642.1%112 W · 154 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes9c1,869$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.251,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8714…4750backed Yes2c1,840$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.98147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-81.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3049…7825backed Yes9c1,751$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1608351.8%43 W · 40 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ce…f74dbacked Yes16c1,614$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.452334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14cf…0856backed Yes13c1,556$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1981442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked Yes1c1,539$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.85911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-67.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ac…ee5fbacked Yes18c1,480$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.7840%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x144f…7516backed Yes10c1,456$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cee…1832backed Yes10c1,437$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-57.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Yes7c1,430$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes8c1,375$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.651513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-66%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes3c1,350$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442524%6 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6271…784ebacked Yes8c1,268$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.01128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-58.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab23…0e23backed Yes8c1,257$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6b8…d54cbacked Yes8c1,217$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003928.2%11 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Yes17c1,199$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026055%143 W · 117 L+21.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b62…6137backed Yes8c1,185$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.67238.9%28 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x021e…984ebacked Yes8c1,183$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f0…bdd3backed Yes9c1,170$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.52333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa318…0c71backed Yes14c1,118$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.9714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Yes10c1,101$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.78652.3%45 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e97…2864backed Yes8c1,101$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Yes8c1,097$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.213129%9 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick22cpaid-23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c19…94f5backed Yes13c1,088$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.77166.3%1 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick27cpaid-89.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9bc4…4f77backed Yes10c1,081$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9393…345dbacked Yes8c1,049$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c72…8b8bbacked Yes9c1,024$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.51250%6 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+54.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x328a…224abacked Yes6c1,024$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.24254%1 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick12cpaid-90.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80e9…5105backed Yes8c1,017$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.654151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ad4…ff91backed Yes10c1,003$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e56ebacked Yes16c1,002$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-75%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.