TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,061,721
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$745,025

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,061,721 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 547 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf3f4…05e9backed Yes8c49,938$3,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,808.84166.3%1 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-75.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes4c31,414$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.17035.7%25 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+52%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ec8…5709backed Yes9c30,349$2,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,604.611118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-65.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ad…208ebacked Yes8c23,678$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,944.2721740.1%87 W · 130 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes9c15,368$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.291,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes10c14,869$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.1518837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Yes7c13,285$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.277324.7%18 W · 55 L-9.8wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-43.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes12c13,031$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508.331533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe05f…b3e8backed Yes7c12,527$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.7329145.4%132 W · 159 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes8c11,735$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.347634.2%26 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes5c10,565$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.941,15349.2%567 W · 586 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes2c8,204$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.111,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa16f…6df1backed Yes9c7,950$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.24911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-62.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes9c7,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64544749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3413…5204backed Yes6c7,477$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.471421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-58.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff3…7d00backed Yes8c7,447$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.93616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-65.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ca…e8d0backed Yes7c7,064$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6431…3542backed Yes8c6,904$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf69c…e43dbacked Yes2c6,801$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.16375.4%2 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick5cpaid-83.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes7c6,334$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.25336.1%2 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-83.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8172…abeabacked Yes10c6,052$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003026.7%8 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes6c5,991$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.5523444.9%105 W · 129 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes3c5,962$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.2310328.2%29 W · 74 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-40.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes8c5,805$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.558125.9%21 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c16…45e9backed Yes7c5,500$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39650%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa652…6f8fbacked Yes7c5,500$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39650%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes5c5,174$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.4169547.5%330 W · 365 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa34d…67fdbacked Yes11c4,626$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc839…2930backed Yes8c4,443$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.643729.7%11 W · 26 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd702…019cbacked Yes5c3,904$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-56.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes7c3,873$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.122020%4 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-62.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c3,873$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.483929.4%37 W · 355 L+1.5wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c5e…2c5dbacked Yes2c3,791$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa54…c182backed Yes9c3,301$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.53228.1%9 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc9ca…04c5backed Yes11c3,104$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.65110%0 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes5c3,004$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.736524.6%16 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+49.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe28a…f973backed Yes5c2,950$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb41c…43c0backed Yes12c2,930$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed Yes9c2,909$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.133324.2%8 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x328a…224abacked Yes5c2,863$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2254%1 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick12cpaid-90.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x460a…1282backed Yes9c2,756$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Yes7c2,547$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18043153.6%231 W · 200 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes4c2,500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fbf…f580backed Yes4c2,423$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.76166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-63.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes9c2,394$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.44134.1%14 W · 27 L-6.1wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-34.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes8c2,375$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.3926642.1%112 W · 154 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ede…c417backed Yes2c2,327$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.261428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Yes8c2,293$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.173129%9 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick22cpaid-23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes9c2,276$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.451,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72db…af7dbacked Yes8c2,239$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.64166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-75.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46a4…fa19backed Yes10c2,178$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.67812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick9cpaid-53.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes7c2,134$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.631513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-66%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd3…f7d3backed Yes7c1,915$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.643135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes9c1,850$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.2588549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3049…7825backed Yes8c1,842$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.968351.8%43 W · 40 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cee…1832backed Yes8c1,773$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-57.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x297c…a87bbacked Yes2c1,772$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.52425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick9cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3129…22edbacked Yes6c1,762$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11012746.5%59 W · 68 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes9c1,688$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.7616725.1%42 W · 125 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x276f…2f1fbacked Yes22c1,654$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad38…4d87backed Yes5c1,621$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Yes7c1,600$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11066645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes3c1,600$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502524%6 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa7…e4adbacked Yes6c1,585$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-48.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26b0…c3bdbacked Yes7c1,510$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.57119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-60.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Yes5c1,500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.973743.2%16 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f18…77c9backed Yes9c1,498$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.198434.5%29 W · 55 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes10c1,481$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.94030%12 W · 28 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-47.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfe51…e6fdbacked Yes3c1,449$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8f3…4c06backed Yes9c1,431$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.42176.2%16 W · 5 L+6.2wins+0.30per pick47cpaid+78.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x021e…984ebacked Yes7c1,385$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes7c1,375$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick12cpaid-68%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa158…6bd3backed Yes8c1,301$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed Yes6c1,263$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.98185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick5cpaid-79.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc79e…eac5backed Yes5c1,245$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes4c1,220$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.021,44550%723 W · 722 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64cd…3b2dbacked Yes10c1,212$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.93616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-53.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26e9…4a51backed Yes6c1,200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610940.4%44 W · 65 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc17…289abacked Yes6c1,200$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5117946.4%83 W · 96 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…366bbacked Yes11c1,100$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.81931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6b8…d54cbacked Yes9c1,087$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003928.2%11 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes8c1,060$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.212646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes6c1,058$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.571,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7816…ce35backed Yes9c1,053$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick15cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Yes8c1,030$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.338652.3%45 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8272…541dbacked Yes2c1,000$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-78.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes9c1,000$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30b6…0d6dbacked Yes10c1,000$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62d1…0220backed Yes8c999.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-35.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfc46…0fc8backed Yes12c982$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes3c975.52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.31120%0 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x401c…75c9backed Yes8c949.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.77616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-40.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Yes5c943.38$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.721637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed Yes9c888.15$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.512335%43 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdc0…0dcfbacked Yes12c877$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6cf6…ee33backed Yes12c848.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe2…bd92backed Yes8c845$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4c83…a98dbacked Yes9c843$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc760…a9cfbacked Yes7c810$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.82520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdea0…28a0backed Yes5c805$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.