MLB · resolved market

Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1d03e3a880d9b39e26afff50b779d7efe6fbbc9a3c9bd12c3ef34445dbac64c

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Oct 3, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $950,234
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $593,135

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $950,234 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x08ad…208ebacked Yes	4c	73,159$2,844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,844.47	217	40.1%87 W · 130 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes	3c	42,510$1,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,220.03	695	47.5%330 W · 365 L	-16.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Yes	4c	31,110$1,243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,242.94	269	49.4%133 W · 136 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8172…abeabacked Yes	4c	27,908$1,201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,201.02	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6441…4e5bbacked Yes	4c	23,950$958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$958	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes	3c	17,841$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.01	33	6.1%2 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-83.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3f4…05e9backed Yes	4c	15,730$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600.45	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe05f…b3e8backed Yes	2c	15,634$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.57	291	45.4%132 W · 159 L	+15.3wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Yes	3c	12,209$398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.47	31	29%9 W · 22 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	22cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	5c	9,015$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.92	1,510	39%589 W · 921 L	-16.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd281…d750backed Yes	4c	8,888$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.08	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a2f…1f59backed Yes	4c	8,888$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.08	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed Yes	3c	8,518$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.28	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3fbf…f580backed Yes	2c	8,495$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.98	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-63.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes	4c	7,542$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.12	76	43.4%33 W · 43 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	7,362$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.69	392	9.4%37 W · 355 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes	3c	6,993$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.15	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+52%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	4c	6,718$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.02	1,381	48.1%664 W · 717 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f6d…6b4ebacked Yes	2c	6,707$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.78	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf69c…e43dbacked Yes	5c	6,534$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.41	37	5.4%2 W · 35 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-83.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Yes	3c	6,403$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	431	53.6%231 W · 200 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes	2c	6,359$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.91	76	34.2%26 W · 50 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes	1c	5,883$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.98	266	42.1%112 W · 154 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c19…94f5backed Yes	5c	5,583$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.74	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-3.4wins	-0.21per pick	27cpaid	-89.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	3c	5,521$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.08	1,151	49.2%566 W · 585 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes	3c	4,423$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.39	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x328a…224abacked Yes	1c	4,327$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.03	25	4%1 W · 24 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	12cpaid	-90.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3049…7825backed Yes	4c	4,071$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161	83	51.8%43 W · 40 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8803…8ddfbacked Yes	4c	3,994$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.17	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-2.8wins	-0.17per pick	28cpaid	-81.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes	1c	3,950$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.5	26	0%0 W · 26 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes	3c	3,724$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.53	234	44.9%105 W · 129 L	-7.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	2c	3,405$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.88	81	25.9%21 W · 60 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaa7…e4adbacked Yes	4c	3,378$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72db…af7dbacked Yes	2c	3,055$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.1	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x65d4…4e71backed Yes	5c	3,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b42…ae6ebacked Yes	3c	3,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed Yes	2c	2,887$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.37	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-79.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3848…9967backed Yes	4c	2,814$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.7	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fdb…7ea3backed Yes	4c	2,594$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.98	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	+21%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9171…a0c6backed Yes	4c	2,483$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9d4…2de0backed Yes	4c	2,310$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.53	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x305a…5256backed Yes	3c	2,272$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26b0…c3bdbacked Yes	3c	2,138$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.52	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-60.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes	1c	2,063$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.88	885	49.7%440 W · 445 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes	3c	2,001$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.77	103	28.2%29 W · 74 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes	2c	1,999$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.88	188	37.8%71 W · 117 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58d1…148ebacked Yes	1c	1,707$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5937…bd9bbacked Yes	2c	1,635$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	32	6.3%2 W · 30 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-82%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes	1c	1,620$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.47	56	8.9%5 W · 51 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+105.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes	3c	1,547$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.73	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-66%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8d2…03afbacked Yes	3c	1,501$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f75…00b8backed Yes	1c	1,494$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.42	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	4c	1,387$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.65	639	42.7%273 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed Yes	3c	1,306$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.47	129	39.5%51 W · 78 L	-6.1wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Yes	1c	1,304$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.82	123	37.4%46 W · 77 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes	4c	1,285$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.12	1,435	50%717 W · 718 L	+25.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d74…06d9backed Yes	4c	1,100$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.8	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	30cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8db4…9c07backed Yes	3c	1,055$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.28	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf720…4599backed Yes	3c	1,050$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.6	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	28cpaid	-67.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf623…d538backed Yes	1c	1,028$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed Yes	4c	1,026$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.91	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-24%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Yes	3c	1,004$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	156	44.9%70 W · 86 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc039…e6a0backed Yes	2c	1,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26e9…4a51backed Yes	3c	1,000$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	109	40.4%44 W · 65 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x500b…1b55backed Yes	3c	1,000$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.49	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes	1c	999.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.52	85	43.5%37 W · 48 L	+8.6wins	+0.10per pick	33cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3f7a…d7ccbacked Yes	5c	970.89$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	36cpaid	-77.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb726…778bbacked Yes	5c	946.08$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4439…9c3cbacked Yes	2c	929.76$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.6	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-81.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72ab…a215backed Yes	3c	919.09$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8dc…97babacked Yes	2c	800$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd95…a744backed Yes	3c	781.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d9…b89abacked Yes	3c	779$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	3c	778.45$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.72	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x428b…3be4backed Yes	3c	726.32$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+2.4wins	+0.27per pick	40cpaid	+58.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa025…4720backed Yes	3c	719$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.41	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5b3…4155backed Yes	2c	700$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.99	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1834…795abacked Yes	3c	691.41$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.87	25	12%3 W · 22 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e90…92dabacked Yes	3c	690$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.32	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x725c…01a1backed Yes	4c	683.42$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.25	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes	4c	680.17$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.53	65	24.6%16 W · 49 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a13…728abacked Yes	2c	678$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.92	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e13…25a7backed Yes	4c	673.99$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x355b…30adbacked Yes	4c	673.72$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.96	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x401b…8534backed Yes	8c	647.94$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes	2c	605.15$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	215	38.6%83 W · 132 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e28…3a1dbacked Yes	3c	592$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x806c…5d28backed Yes	2c	577$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.69	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7687…d750backed Yes	3c	571.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fe2…da94backed Yes	3c	569$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.79	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0c8…09c5backed Yes	3c	563$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1935…0c41backed Yes	3c	561$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.95	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa17f…b118backed Yes	4c	555.56$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3248…1b3cbacked Yes	2c	549$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.08	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6092…c64ebacked Yes	2c	537$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04e3…1e17backed Yes	2c	536$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.79	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b2b…5752backed Yes	4c	500.86$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	74	45.9%34 W · 40 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Yes	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	493	48.3%238 W · 255 L	+15.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa182…8ae2backed Yes	3c	495$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes	4c	487.7$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event