TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x725c…01a1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NFL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+183.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$319.84
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+5,667.2%+$2,153.52
Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will the Chargers win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will the Chiefs win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$101.31
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+185.7%+$65.92
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$99.5
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+112.8%+$146.6
Spread: Patriots (-6.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.25
Ravens vs. Brownsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+25%+$118.75
Buccaneers vs. Billsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$52.53
Patriots vs. Buccaneersbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+132.6%+$258.49
Seahawks vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$76
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Patriots (-6.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Commanders vs. Chiefsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
Spread: Patriots (-6.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$100.52
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Patriots vs. Titansbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$122.67
Patriots vs. Saintsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+53.6%+$128.66
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$152.45
Packers vs. Brownsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.81
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-52.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$199
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$26.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Nobody 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $10m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.