NFL · resolved market

Cowboys vs. Raiders

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0b22e218e9d820e26e0e7820b191e123a27ba4e522f4bf253c2ea4733076f17

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cowboysof Cowboys, Raiders
Resolved: Nov 18, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,582,071
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,623,805

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,582,071 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb744…5210backed Raiders	36c	1,272,499$454,613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454,612.97	170	41.8%71 W · 99 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaefe…1e4abacked Cowboys	64c	781,741$503,983 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277,758.41	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed Raiders	36c	188,800$67,968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67,968	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Raiders	34c	105,541$36,388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36,387.84	138	43.5%60 W · 78 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Cowboys	64c	100,000$64,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36,000	249	57%142 W · 107 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8605…750fbacked Cowboys	65c	92,308$60,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,307.69	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	71cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Raiders	36c	80,557$29,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,000.67	312	40.7%127 W · 185 L	-22.0wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Cowboys	63c	79,000$49,770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,229.88	89	46.1%41 W · 48 L	+5.4wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Cowboys	66c	73,647$48,468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,178.77	477	38.6%184 W · 293 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7e3…1a64backed Cowboys	64c	72,881$46,644 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,237.17	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Raiders	24c	62,566$15,053 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,053.17	736	51.2%377 W · 359 L	+25.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Raiders	26c	59,256$15,354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,354.5	300	43.7%131 W · 169 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9416…991bbacked Raiders	35c	54,000$18,854 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,854.44	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-3.5wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Cowboys	64c	52,752$33,761 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,990.71	103	33%34 W · 69 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Raiders	36c	50,000$17,833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,833.32	121	44.6%54 W · 67 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Raiders	36c	50,000$17,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,799.96	307	43.6%134 W · 173 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Raiders	11c	43,938$5,036 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,036.13	200	26%52 W · 148 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Raiders	36c	42,816$15,555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,554.64	149	51%76 W · 73 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Raiders	1c	42,816$637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$637.39	333	28.5%95 W · 238 L	+16.7wins	+0.05per pick	24cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Raiders	2c	39,944$812 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$811.56	143	49%70 W · 73 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Cowboys	61c	39,101$23,974 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,127.14	207	55.1%114 W · 93 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Cowboys	65c	38,462$25,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,461.54	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Raiders	37c	35,561$13,075 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,075.5	865	47.9%414 W · 451 L	-6.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Cowboys	64c	32,701$20,929 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,772.36	446	52.9%236 W · 210 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Raiders	36c	30,689$10,925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,925.15	758	52.5%398 W · 360 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked Raiders	36c	30,000$10,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,650	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ab…f2c3backed Cowboys	64c	27,813$17,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,012.5	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Raiders	35c	24,000$8,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,399.99	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	-8.8wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8aeb…be79backed Cowboys	77c	23,249$17,911 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,337.99	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Cowboys	63c	22,612$14,281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,331.4	533	48.4%258 W · 275 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb433…7705backed Raiders	3c	22,404$626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$625.86	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	15cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Raiders	36c	19,999$7,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,199.75	184	35.9%66 W · 118 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Raiders	37c	19,058$7,052 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,051.56	66	39.4%26 W · 40 L	-4.5wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Cowboys	64c	19,000$12,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,840	266	50.8%135 W · 131 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Raiders	14c	18,840$2,607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,606.92	192	35.4%68 W · 124 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-35%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Raiders	37c	18,666$6,883 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,883.01	116	49.1%57 W · 59 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…837dbacked Cowboys	64c	18,500$11,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,660	71	47.9%34 W · 37 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb7…05f6backed Cowboys	76c	18,323$13,993 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,329.71	101	44.6%45 W · 56 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Raiders	0c	18,095$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.76	196	9.2%18 W · 178 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-67.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Raiders	36c	16,797$6,047 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,047	131	42%55 W · 76 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Cowboys	64c	16,503$10,562 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,941.19	251	37.5%94 W · 157 L	-18.6wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Raiders	35c	14,526$5,084 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,084	1,196	49.9%597 W · 599 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Raiders	39c	14,040$5,488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,488.25	85	32.9%28 W · 57 L	-5.7wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Raiders	0c	12,251$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.7	98	0%0 W · 98 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b6…630cbacked Cowboys	64c	12,000$7,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,320	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf04e…2773backed Raiders	7c	9,971$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$689.81	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-36%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Cowboys	65c	9,600$6,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,360	94	44.7%42 W · 52 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Raiders	2c	9,544$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.66	148	6.8%10 W · 138 L	+6.7wins	+0.05per pick	2cpaid	+296.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Raiders	7c	9,260$674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$674.15	265	47.2%125 W · 140 L	+10.4wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde97…e43ebacked Cowboys	62c	9,224$5,725 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,499.14	65	40%26 W · 39 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Cowboys	74c	8,643$6,416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,226.66	116	43.1%50 W · 66 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Raiders	41c	7,808$3,222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,221.98	232	44.4%103 W · 129 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d96…443ebacked Raiders	37c	7,790$2,882 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,882.36	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Raiders	40c	7,664$3,064 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,064.18	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Raiders	37c	7,500$2,775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,775	240	53.8%129 W · 111 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Raiders	36c	7,500$2,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,700	144	50%72 W · 72 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf5…6638backed Cowboys	67c	7,470$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,470.38	116	37.9%44 W · 72 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Cowboys	64c	7,250$4,640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,610	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Cowboys	64c	7,141$4,570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,570.63	69	65.2%45 W · 24 L	+9.4wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Raiders	35c	7,097$2,484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,484.05	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.8wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8655…39c0backed Raiders	36c	7,000$2,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,520	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cowboys	64c	7,000$4,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,549.99	513	52.2%268 W · 245 L	+16.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Raiders	36c	6,609$2,379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,379.39	85	51.8%44 W · 41 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Raiders	9c	6,555$585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$585.32	180	44.4%80 W · 100 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Raiders	2c	6,554$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.44	684	46.1%315 W · 369 L	+16.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Raiders	35c	6,134$2,147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,147	72	59.7%43 W · 29 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Cowboys	64c	5,973$3,823 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,150.27	52	61.5%32 W · 20 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Cowboys	63c	5,847$3,706 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,141.02	171	44.4%76 W · 95 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Raiders	37c	5,405$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,999.8	83	43.4%36 W · 47 L	+7.7wins	+0.09per pick	34cpaid	+24%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Raiders	36c	5,294$1,906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,906	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c7b…dc0cbacked Raiders	38c	5,230$2,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,012	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-14%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Cowboys	64c	5,103$3,266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,837	65	44.6%29 W · 36 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed Raiders	36c	5,000$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	160	36.3%58 W · 102 L	+7.3wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Raiders	37c	5,000$1,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,850	88	45.5%40 W · 48 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Raiders	9c	5,000$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474	257	44.4%114 W · 143 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6919…5effbacked Cowboys	64c	4,679$2,994 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,684.35	48	52.1%25 W · 23 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Cowboys	68c	4,663$3,167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,495.89	96	57.3%55 W · 41 L	+6.5wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x714c…f68dbacked Raiders	7c	4,230$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.8	84	32.1%27 W · 57 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6c1…73d8backed Raiders	37c	4,200$1,554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,554	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a33…5325backed Cowboys	64c	4,200$2,688 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,512	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea6f…dd06backed Cowboys	79c	4,174$3,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$873.63	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.12per pick	63cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Cowboys	75c	4,154$3,119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,035.71	54	59.3%32 W · 22 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1dc1…a09ebacked Raiders	37c	4,050$1,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,498.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x49e8…3613backed Raiders	37c	4,000$1,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,480	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e6c…69d0backed Cowboys	64c	4,000$2,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,440	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Cowboys	64c	3,906$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,406.25	167	37.7%63 W · 104 L	-6.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Raiders	41c	3,906$1,586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,585.56	162	54.9%89 W · 73 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Raiders	0c	3,900$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	101	3%3 W · 98 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-84%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Cowboys	73c	3,812$2,766 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,046.08	310	56.8%176 W · 134 L	+16.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d44…53fdbacked Cowboys	64c	3,800$2,432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,368	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c2e…7f88backed Raiders	37c	3,800$1,406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,406	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Raiders	38c	3,562$1,351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,350.86	238	50.8%121 W · 117 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Cowboys	62c	3,550$2,201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,348.98	106	50.9%54 W · 52 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Raiders	36c	3,513$1,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,259.88	834	47.1%393 W · 441 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b8c…9390backed Cowboys	65c	3,500$2,275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,225	75	58.7%44 W · 31 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Cowboys	65c	3,500$2,275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,225	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2900…af64backed Raiders	36c	3,333$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,199.88	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc30b…1b6dbacked Raiders	38c	3,238$1,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,230.48	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.4wins	-0.30per pick	42cpaid	-69.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe3e4…9241backed Cowboys	63c	3,175$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,174.6	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-28%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x584f…e848backed Cowboys	64c	3,115$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,114.86	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cowboys vs. Raidersthis page
1H Spread: Cowboys (-1.5)Cowboys won
1H Spread: Cowboys (-2.5)Cowboys won
Cowboys Team Total: O/U 21.5Over won
Cowboys vs. Raiders: 1H MoneylineCowboys won
Cowboys vs. Raiders: 1H O/U 24.5Over won
Cowboys vs. Raiders: 1H O/U 25.5Over won
Cowboys vs. Raiders: 1H O/U 26.5Over won
Cowboys vs. Raiders: O/U 48.5Over won
Cowboys vs. Raiders: O/U 49.5Under won
Cowboys vs. Raiders: O/U 50.5Under won
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)Cowboys won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cowboys vs. Raiders

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event