NFL · resolved market
Cowboys vs. Raiders: O/U 50.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x649f390257b361f84746e7d10ceafef9d0542b9a32d242ca6dda0b818f127b79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 47c | 56,026$26,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,333.16 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Under | 53c | 47,869$25,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,498.4 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Over | 42c | 22,467$9,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,541.31 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe788…edb1backed Over | 3c | 17,300$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 46c | 14,081$6,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,455.45 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 57c | 8,410$4,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,628.96 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 56c | 6,996$3,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,112.84 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Under | 58c | 6,914$3,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,922.56 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Over | 43c | 4,233$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 53c | 3,847$2,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.04 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Over | 45c | 3,266$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.92 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Under | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 57c | 1,865$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 56c | 1,774$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.84 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 44c | 1,611$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.69 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 51c | 1,587$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.48 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 53c | 1,058$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.47 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6d…1ba1backed Under | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 46c | 819$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.68 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Under | 54c | 783.31$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.32 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 55c | 676.1$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.25 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Under | 52c | 666$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.68 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Under | 55c | 618.25$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.25 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 504.14$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.89 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Under | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Under | 53c | 425.51$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.99 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93e4…51a1backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 56c | 358$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked Under | 56c | 357.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161c…3b03backed Under | 54c | 299.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Over | 46c | 286.95$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x868f…4806backed Over | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 199 | 48.2%96 W · 103 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbf…b7febacked Over | 48c | 201$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee8…64afbacked Under | 53c | 201$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…d7cebacked Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e2…a6b1backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…01cfbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 55c | 171$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 55c | 164.37$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.47 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff0…f5babacked Over | 49c | 153.1$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 44c | 144$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.68 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Under | 53c | 139.15$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +5.6wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 45c | 133$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 304 | 42.4%129 W · 175 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce0…7058backed Over | 48c | 110$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e8…1580backed Under | 52c | 105$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…3e75backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Over | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeee5…089abacked Under | 53c | 95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…1056backed Over | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 47c | 79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 67c | 78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…b4e6backed Under | 57c | 68.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked Over | 45c | 61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 56cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 47c | 56.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Over | 46c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…20a3backed Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked Over | 45c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 47c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Under | 53c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Over | 54c | 42.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 310 | 32.6%101 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Over | 51c | 38.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 56c | 38.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…5b88backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked Over | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed Over | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Under | 53c | 30.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 297 | 51.5%153 W · 144 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 46c | 27.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa709…8d1dbacked Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e07…3702backed Under | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908d…1d99backed Over | 45c | 24.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb203…8e45backed Under | 53c | 23.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 60cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 163 | 60.1%98 W · 65 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cowboys vs. Raiders: O/U 50.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cowboys (-1.5)Cowboys won
- 1H Spread: Cowboys (-2.5)Cowboys won
- Cowboys Team Total: O/U 21.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. RaidersCowboys won
- Cowboys vs. Raiders: 1H MoneylineCowboys won
- Cowboys vs. Raiders: 1H O/U 24.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Raiders: 1H O/U 25.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Raiders: 1H O/U 26.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Raiders: O/U 48.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Raiders: O/U 49.5Under won
- Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)Cowboys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.