NFL · resolved market
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd7d9140f470a1b54965ae857ab3384ef088f35fe891b3b6b15662662aa7a51f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cowboysof Cowboys, Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,716,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,230,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,716,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Raiders | 50c | 1,992,043$1,002,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002,038.95 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Cowboys | 50c | 1,303,000$651,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651,500 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Raiders | 51c | 643,050$326,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326,255.29 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…5ee1backed Raiders | 51c | 589,042$300,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300,411.62 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cowboys | 49c | 447,583$220,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226,676.67 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Raiders | 51c | 414,890$211,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211,593.94 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Cowboys | 49c | 400,000$196,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203,999.99 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Raiders | 50c | 235,000$117,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117,900 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Raiders | 51c | 212,035$107,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107,847.69 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Raiders | 51c | 196,014$99,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,967.01 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cowboys | 49c | 192,511$94,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,793.53 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Cowboys | 49c | 128,240$62,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,841.3 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Raiders | 52c | 120,000$62,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,399.99 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Cowboys | 49c | 115,000$56,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,650 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cowboys | 49c | 109,951$53,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,482.73 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Cowboys | 49c | 100,093$49,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,047.17 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Cowboys | 49c | 80,000$39,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,800 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Cowboys | 48c | 69,538$33,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,954.54 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Cowboys | 48c | 60,337$28,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,375.14 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Cowboys | 50c | 51,695$25,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,847.43 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Raiders | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Cowboys | 48c | 37,077$17,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,272.77 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Raiders | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,300 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Cowboys | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,300 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Cowboys | 48c | 28,917$13,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,036.83 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Raiders | 51c | 25,000$12,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,800 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Raiders | 51c | 20,588$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Cowboys | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cowboys | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,199.99 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Cowboys | 49c | 19,400$9,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,894 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Raiders | 50c | 19,030$9,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,508.13 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed Cowboys | 50c | 16,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raiders | 51c | 15,256$7,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,779.98 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Raiders | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Raiders | 51c | 15,000$7,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,575 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raiders | 50c | 14,641$7,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,317.85 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Cowboys | 49c | 12,500$6,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,375 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Raiders | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,239.99 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Raiders | 52c | 10,385$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Raiders | 51c | 10,275$5,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,240 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa117…a311backed Cowboys | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf48…cbbcbacked Raiders | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Raiders | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raiders | 54c | 9,640$5,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,205.49 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Cowboys | 49c | 9,584$4,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,935.47 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cowboys | 43c | 9,132$3,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,169.34 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Cowboys | 49c | 8,050$3,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,132.7 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Cowboys | 49c | 7,885$3,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,021.35 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Raiders | 51c | 6,200$3,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,132 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Raiders | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Raiders | 51c | 5,219$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.69 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Raiders | 50c | 5,150$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.5 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Cowboys | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Raiders | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Raiders | 53c | 4,500$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Raiders | 52c | 4,135$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd804…821cbacked Cowboys | 50c | 4,052$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cowboys | 49c | 4,020$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.27 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Cowboys | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Raiders | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Cowboys | 48c | 3,607$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.63 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Raiders | 51c | 3,270$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.7 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Cowboys | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Cowboys | 52c | 3,000$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.48 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cowboys | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…4976backed Cowboys | 48c | 2,996$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Cowboys | 51c | 2,994$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.12 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0323…77e4backed Raiders | 52c | 2,976$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Cowboys | 50c | 2,950$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Cowboys | 48c | 2,780$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.6 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Raiders | 51c | 2,529$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Cowboys | 48c | 2,191$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.14 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b3…0b0abacked Raiders | 51c | 2,150$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04a…7412backed Cowboys | 48c | 2,150$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Cowboys | 48c | 2,052$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.14 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…719bbacked Cowboys | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Cowboys | 50c | 2,031$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.7 | 208 | 51%106 W · 102 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Raiders | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Cowboys | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Cowboys | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Raiders | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.11 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Raiders | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Raiders | 51c | 1,938$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.38 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Cowboys | 49c | 1,825$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Raiders | 52c | 1,742$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.98 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Raiders | 52c | 1,636$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.72 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Cowboys | 48c | 1,625$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Raiders | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Cowboys | 49c | 1,556$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.12 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Raiders | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae5…b896backed Cowboys | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Raiders | 51c | 1,298$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.07 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…f955backed Raiders | 51c | 1,274$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.67 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…7705backed Raiders | 1c | 1,196$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Raiders | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.76 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Cowboys | 49c | 1,135$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.96 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Cowboys | 49c | 1,120$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.02 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cowboys | 48c | 1,102$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.08 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Cowboys | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.13 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Cowboys | 49c | 1,050$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.5 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cowboys (-1.5)Cowboys won
- 1H Spread: Cowboys (-2.5)Cowboys won
- Cowboys Team Total: O/U 21.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. RaidersCowboys won
- Cowboys vs. Raiders: 1H MoneylineCowboys won
- Cowboys vs. Raiders: 1H O/U 24.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Raiders: 1H O/U 25.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Raiders: 1H O/U 26.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Raiders: O/U 48.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Raiders: O/U 49.5Under won
- Cowboys vs. Raiders: O/U 50.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.