NFL · resolved market
Cowboys vs. Raiders: O/U 49.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0587394cbee01a54744da078cb24d3a4421b225fe2d4c6d8d7750cbf14318492
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $522,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $514,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $522,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 137,433$67,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,004.35 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Over | 52c | 100,000$52,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,000 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Under | 55c | 84,400$46,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,054.54 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 43c | 67,176$29,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,155.26 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Over | 47c | 50,150$23,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,606.5 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Over | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 45,245$21,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,939.2 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 49c | 34,044$16,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,225.13 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Over | 45c | 20,010$9,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,006.14 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Over | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Over | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Over | 76c | 13,727$10,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,432.71 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 11,246$5,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,145.34 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 46c | 10,748$4,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,992.21 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa117…a311backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.99 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Over | 46c | 8,400$3,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,874.49 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 47c | 7,700$3,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,626.7 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 7,626$3,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900.85 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 45c | 7,387$3,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,329.07 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 53c | 5,192$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440.45 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3a…9ec0backed Over | 48c | 3,696$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.14 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Over | 36c | 3,423$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.38 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2900…af64backed Under | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 48c | 2,900$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.04 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 46c | 2,894$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.06 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b2…df60backed Over | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Over | 47c | 2,010$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.41 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…87d5backed Under | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 21c | 1,673$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.95 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 54c | 1,508$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.87 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 1,452$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.47 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Over | 49c | 1,384$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 46c | 1,096$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.18 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Under | 52c | 1,062$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.58 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Under | 48c | 1,028$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.46 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 49c | 1,000$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.51 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Over | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Under | 49c | 921.62$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.24 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a6…9c48backed Under | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 47c | 799.15$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.55 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 52c | 772$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.56 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Under | 52c | 750$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Over | 51c | 673.27$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.37 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 638$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.24 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Under | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…5fa1backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9389…b332backed Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Over | 39c | 490$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Over | 46c | 476.28$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.09 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 45c | 467$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.15 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Over | 46c | 420$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x855d…349fbacked Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…a50ebacked Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe97…8e82backed Over | 71c | 320$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.25 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0f…baf9backed Over | 49c | 308.06$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Under | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Under | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Over | 46c | 275$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…9d80backed Under | 53c | 243.59$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf014…d442backed Over | 52c | 236.54$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 29c | 230$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.65 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…a206backed Over | 49c | 220.78$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Under | 55c | 220$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28a8…57d5backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c04cbacked Over | 48c | 211.71$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…d720backed Under | 53c | 211.32$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10a8…8629backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 47c | 207.49$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 304 | 42.4%129 W · 175 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 49c | 206$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.06 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…48e8backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc741…5252backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 64c | 189.24$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.91 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 48c | 180$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe468…926ebacked Over | 52c | 168.29$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.51 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…a7efbacked Under | 53c | 162.11$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.19 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…40b4backed Over | 52c | 159$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.68 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Over | 40c | 154.32$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.58 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Under | 48c | 149.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x205f…0189backed Over | 48c | 143.75$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 52c | 142.31$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…884ebacked Over | 49c | 126.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…ce17backed Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Over | 48c | 110$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…14bbbacked Under | 53c | 107.49$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.52 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cowboys vs. Raiders: O/U 49.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cowboys (-1.5)Cowboys won
- 1H Spread: Cowboys (-2.5)Cowboys won
- Cowboys Team Total: O/U 21.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. RaidersCowboys won
- Cowboys vs. Raiders: 1H MoneylineCowboys won
- Cowboys vs. Raiders: 1H O/U 24.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Raiders: 1H O/U 25.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Raiders: 1H O/U 26.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Raiders: O/U 48.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Raiders: O/U 50.5Under won
- Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)Cowboys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.