TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Celtics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Knicks, Celtics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,113,317
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,202,480

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,113,317 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,337 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x68dd…f0b2backed Knicks51c120,000$61,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,599.8751350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x564f…1795backed Knicks51c58,790$29,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,983.113839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Knicks51c55,700$28,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,607.9415443.5%67 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb351…5fbfbacked Knicks50c55,600$27,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,970.783043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Knicks52c53,840$27,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,776.62,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Celtics49c53,000$25,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,0101,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Celtics49c50,000$24,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,499.8413248.5%64 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Celtics49c45,000$22,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,95017354.3%94 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Celtics48c38,803$18,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,048.396447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e47…c088backed Knicks51c37,604$19,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,178540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Celtics48c37,109$17,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,296.6727251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Knicks19c35,220$6,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,557.689640.6%39 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Knicks51c33,800$17,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,314.942,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05dd…e2afbacked Knicks51c33,391$17,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,029.46450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Celtics63c32,000$20,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,80034062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2651…3471backed Celtics49c31,311$15,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,968.612100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+71.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Celtics50c30,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,00038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Celtics38c28,351$10,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,701.0838649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Celtics49c28,275$13,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,420.2520542.9%88 W · 117 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Knicks48c25,894$12,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,527.5826038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Knicks25c20,898$5,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,272.431,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Knicks52c20,578$10,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,700.5620253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Celtics49c20,322$9,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,364.4521944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8166…6770backed Knicks51c20,000$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,2002759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Knicks51c20,000$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,2001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabdf…e8e4backed Knicks52c19,701$10,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,244.41250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1013…87d5backed Knicks62c19,487$11,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,991.18863.6%56 W · 32 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90f6…48f3backed Celtics49c18,163$8,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,203.176256.5%35 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Knicks50c17,612$8,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,805.851,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Celtics50c17,000$8,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,50017554.9%96 W · 79 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Celtics66c16,981$11,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,813.885,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Knicks3c15,472$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.7227917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Knicks50c15,000$7,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,435.778445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Celtics48c14,906$7,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,751.131,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Celtics48c14,566$7,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,527.194,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Knicks53c14,480$7,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,674.2937557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Celtics52c14,456$7,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,935.143,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks43c13,908$5,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,956.044,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Knicks27c13,845$3,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,716.892,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Celtics50c13,841$6,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,895.6422845.2%103 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Knicks50c13,583$6,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,791.6619351.3%99 W · 94 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Celtics49c13,087$6,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,609.9392753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Celtics48c12,500$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,5002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks53c10,577$5,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,604.298,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7938…e2dcbacked Celtics49c10,204$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,204.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Knicks51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10023245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Celtics49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1008361.4%51 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc4a…87d4backed Celtics49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1003551.4%18 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Knicks51c9,704$4,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,948.847447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Celtics50c9,351$4,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,631.3422053.6%118 W · 102 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks8c8,902$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.761,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Celtics49c8,900$4,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,538.985749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Knicks51c8,108$4,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,141.5148938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Celtics50c8,040$4,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,02040350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c2f…3794backed Celtics42c7,996$3,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,656.281520%3 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked Celtics49c7,860$3,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,008.63151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked Celtics49c7,557$3,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,854.0711558.3%67 W · 48 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Celtics62c7,549$4,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,889.121,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f72…0841backed Celtics49c7,220$3,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,682.4110255.9%57 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Celtics49c7,129$3,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,635.5735651.1%182 W · 174 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ea…380dbacked Celtics49c6,684$3,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,408.671533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Knicks10c6,641$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.071,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Celtics47c6,128$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,247.641,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Celtics49c6,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,06018142%76 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Celtics49c5,971$2,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,045.437758.4%45 W · 32 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Celtics38c5,778$2,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,568.0448046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146f…7cd0backed Knicks50c5,774$2,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,887.0120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Knicks52c5,769$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0007353.4%39 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca75…e7b4backed Celtics50c5,767$2,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,883.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f63…94e7backed Knicks52c5,756$2,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,992.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Celtics51c5,446$2,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,668.3214052.1%73 W · 67 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Knicks50c5,442$2,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,745.9748944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Celtics49c5,375$2,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,741.042138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ea9…e3c0backed Celtics50c5,344$2,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,676.085655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks53c5,098$2,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,712.951,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Knicks52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60043051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Celtics49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,55035235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Knicks50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Knicks51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.9235547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Celtics49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.8947748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Knicks51c4,722$2,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40813455.2%74 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3df8…a696backed Knicks52c4,500$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3401145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Knicks51c4,401$2,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,242.1944459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bcc…d269backed Celtics49c4,400$2,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x759d…5164backed Knicks51c4,400$2,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,243.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Knicks51c4,312$2,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,19934747%163 W · 184 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3186…d59bbacked Knicks51c4,300$2,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,192.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe30e…eadabacked Knicks7c4,166$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.471866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Celtics61c4,031$2,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,572.0959646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Celtics50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00012144.6%54 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Celtics50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00028850.3%145 W · 143 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x194f…3d95backed Celtics50c3,922$1,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96113345.9%61 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa83b…0e4abacked Knicks51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007050%35 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ab…ded1backed Celtics51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.577745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb461…76cfbacked Celtics49c3,860$1,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,968.62462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1a6…1dccbacked Knicks52c3,860$2,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,007.22339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fb7…082dbacked Celtics49c3,700$1,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,88713250%66 W · 66 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Celtics28c3,629$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,628.8731044.8%139 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics49c3,538$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.616,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Knicks2c3,518$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.538820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.