NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75b6fbb7cfa5ad023c386225ede370e858ce2644201d00b6f1a8fd8705e44756
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Knicks, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Celtics | 52c | 60,318$31,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,064.74 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55f4…a7fdbacked Knicks | 48c | 11,958$5,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,740 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…b8a9backed Knicks | 48c | 10,431$5,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,007 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b86…1e18backed Knicks | 48c | 10,423$5,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,003 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4e…8171backed Knicks | 48c | 10,396$4,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,990 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Knicks | 49c | 8,287$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,049.73 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Knicks | 49c | 6,906$3,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,383.74 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 48c | 6,882$3,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,313.19 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Knicks | 49c | 2,320$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.78 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics | 51c | 1,541$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.01 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Celtics | 52c | 1,485$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.54 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Celtics | 51c | 1,296$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.96 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Celtics | 53c | 1,277$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.09 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 52c | 1,105$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.98 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Celtics | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.43 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Celtics | 51c | 1,077$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.64 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Celtics | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Celtics | 52c | 879.68$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.54 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics | 51c | 555.86$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.3 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Celtics | 52c | 533.29$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.98 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Knicks | 48c | 518.21$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.74 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Celtics | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…f6a0backed Knicks | 37c | 438.72$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.2 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Knicks | 48c | 432$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.04 | 245 | 52.7%129 W · 116 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Knicks | 48c | 432$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.88 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Knicks | 48c | 432$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.88 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Knicks | 48c | 432$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.88 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Knicks | 48c | 432$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.88 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…6825backed Celtics | 53c | 388.68$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.68 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Celtics | 54c | 380$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.8 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Celtics | 53c | 329.34$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Knicks | 48c | 312$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.64 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Knicks | 48c | 312$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.64 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Knicks | 48c | 312$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.64 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Knicks | 48c | 312$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.64 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Knicks | 48c | 312$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.64 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Knicks | 48c | 299.97$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.98 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked Celtics | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Knicks | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Celtics | 51c | 204.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.44 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Celtics | 52c | 170.03$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.61 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Celtics | 53c | 160$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Celtics | 51c | 151.04$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.07 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a60…50e1backed Knicks | 49c | 143.41$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.27 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Knicks | 49c | 131.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.16 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…7d5abacked Knicks | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5da9…582ebacked Knicks | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Knicks | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Celtics | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…fe6dbacked Celtics | 52c | 82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Knicks | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…1e85backed Celtics | 52c | 55.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Celtics | 53c | 54.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…9792backed Knicks | 47c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d12…31e0backed Knicks | 49c | 51.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Celtics | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…c325backed Knicks | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a9…386ebacked Knicks | 47c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Celtics | 51c | 46.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Celtics | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Celtics | 52c | 38.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fd…7d56backed Celtics | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…97dfbacked Celtics | 53c | 32.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Celtics | 75c | 31.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…eaa2backed Knicks | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6e…6a74backed Celtics | 39c | 30.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca0…a4fcbacked Knicks | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e07…3702backed Knicks | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Celtics | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Celtics | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 166 | 69.9%116 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-0.5)Celtics won
- Knicks vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5Over won
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.