TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe30e…eada

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst Weather at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT4334.9%15 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kurds declare independence from Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$102
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+89.7%+$326.64
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.74
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Iran strike Pakistan in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+491.8%+$142.04
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
U.S. evacuates Jerusalem embassy by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
US forces enter Iran by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+46%+$94.5
Magic vs. Bullsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$299.05
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+58.7%+$31.35
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
76ers vs. Mavericksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+79.8%+$313.58
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$547Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$547.37
Magic vs. Pacersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+58.7%+$140.95
Timberwolves vs. Hawksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Warriors vs. Hornetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+54.6%+$201.95
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+58.7%+$135.04
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$689Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+134.5%+$926.94
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+26.4%+$120.66
Knicks vs. Pelicansbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+89.6%+$206.11
Warriors vs. Netsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+56%+$39.22
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+69.5%+$38.75
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$275.47
Wizards vs. 76ersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$32
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+323.1%+$193.85
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Will Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+288.6%+$230.85
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+51.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+60%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+44.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-49.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+50.3%+$210.67
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$391.38
Chiefs vs. Titansbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$92.15
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$34.8
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-12.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs ChickenBurger (BO3)backed ChickenBurger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+63.9%+$25.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,154.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NEOM SC vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$68.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Predatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$121.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C or higher on April 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,065Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,065.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.