NFL · resolved market
Chiefs vs. Titans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5beabbe6b27dc3778f3030fa8e263117deca467ca2bd598745f2c52077ed6367
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Titansof Chiefs, Titans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,292,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,363,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,292,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 803 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Chiefs | 1c | 203,134$2,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.55 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Chiefs | 62c | 91,475$56,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,625.9 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Titans | 70c | 72,499$51,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,389.87 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Titans | 43c | 68,490$29,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,175.38 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Chiefs | 58c | 65,917$38,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,232.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Titans | 41c | 65,202$26,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,325.48 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Chiefs | 59c | 64,361$37,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,652.91 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Titans | 43c | 60,000$25,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,199.99 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Chiefs | 60c | 58,729$35,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,414.7 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Titans | 38c | 50,000$19,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,000 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Chiefs | 57c | 46,480$26,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,493.44 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Titans | 41c | 40,000$16,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,599.99 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Titans | 38c | 39,000$14,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,179.96 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Titans | 38c | 30,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,599.93 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Titans | 57c | 22,222$12,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,586.27 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…667fbacked Chiefs | 62c | 21,000$13,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,020 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Chiefs | 57c | 17,780$10,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,134.34 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Chiefs | 59c | 16,903$9,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,922.16 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Titans | 56c | 15,342$8,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,761.82 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Chiefs | 59c | 13,559$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Chiefs | 59c | 12,699$7,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,545.76 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Titans | 39c | 12,500$4,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,625 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Chiefs | 58c | 12,480$7,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,208.17 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Chiefs | 45c | 11,816$5,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,296.71 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Titans | 40c | 11,153$4,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,729.98 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Chiefs | 35c | 10,500$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Titans | 40c | 10,298$4,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,178.93 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Titans | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,900 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Chiefs | 0c | 9,163$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 98 | 0%0 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked Chiefs | 32c | 8,218$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,629.74 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Titans | 42c | 8,185$3,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,763.89 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Titans | 58c | 7,201$4,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,043.01 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Titans | 37c | 7,169$2,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,516.55 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Chiefs | 33c | 7,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked Titans | 56c | 6,800$3,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,992 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chiefs | 27c | 6,571$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.15 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Chiefs | 58c | 6,233$3,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,615.14 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Titans | 70c | 5,183$3,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.3 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Titans | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Titans | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Titans | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Titans | 56c | 4,933$2,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.43 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Chiefs | 58c | 4,900$2,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,841.93 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcedd…c70fbacked Chiefs | 44c | 4,797$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Titans | 39c | 4,753$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,887.97 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Titans | 69c | 4,752$3,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.12 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Chiefs | 62c | 4,500$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,790 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Titans | 54c | 4,000$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.11 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Titans | 43c | 3,799$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180.44 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Titans | 64c | 3,407$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.01 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Titans | 38c | 3,398$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.47 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Titans | 70c | 3,175$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.33 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Chiefs | 45c | 3,033$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Chiefs | 60c | 3,026$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.84 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Chiefs | 32c | 3,005$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.5 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Chiefs | 57c | 2,715$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.78 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4be…1300backed Titans | 36c | 2,683$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Chiefs | 1c | 2,676$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…bc47backed Chiefs | 57c | 2,668$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…7d22backed Titans | 43c | 2,643$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…8af2backed Titans | 39c | 2,600$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…1df2backed Chiefs | 25c | 2,600$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.85 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Titans | 53c | 2,582$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.45 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2c…5933backed Titans | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x869f…0408backed Chiefs | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…ca67backed Titans | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.99 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Titans | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.98 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Titans | 42c | 2,500$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.73 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked Titans | 69c | 2,450$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…1ebebacked Chiefs | 62c | 2,401$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.86 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Titans | 42c | 2,400$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.19 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Titans | 65c | 2,329$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.65 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Titans | 36c | 2,300$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76a…35c3backed Titans | 36c | 2,240$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x567b…8dc3backed Titans | 36c | 2,111$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Chiefs | 20c | 2,042$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.11 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Chiefs | 62c | 2,010$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.2 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1e…dce7backed Titans | 36c | 2,004$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Chiefs | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x766c…f6cabacked Titans | 36c | 1,990$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7b…09d8backed Chiefs | 55c | 1,983$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…d836backed Titans | 36c | 1,968$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Chiefs | 1c | 1,939$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4dd…b858backed Titans | 36c | 1,927$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Titans | 39c | 1,923$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.08 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a5…3958backed Chiefs | 26c | 1,894$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.98 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Titans | 24c | 1,892$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.96 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43af…6ccfbacked Chiefs | 64c | 1,854$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x137c…3d59backed Titans | 36c | 1,852$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66bd…69c6backed Titans | 36c | 1,802$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 39cpaid | +160.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0a…4912backed Chiefs | 64c | 1,800$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Chiefs | 62c | 1,794$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.28 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…0d87backed Titans | 36c | 1,794$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Chiefs | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0512…b272backed Titans | 36c | 1,696$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…053fbacked Chiefs | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…bb93backed Titans | 66c | 1,689$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.73 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Chiefs | 57c | 1,632$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.23 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ef…ce17backed Chiefs | 58c | 1,628$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…0140backed Titans | 43c | 1,628$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chiefs vs. Titansthis page
- Chiefs vs. Titans: 1H MoneylineTitans won
- Chiefs vs. Titans: O/U 37.5Under won
- Chiefs vs. Titans: O/U 41.5Under won
- Spread: Chiefs (-11.5)Titans won
- Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)Titans won
- Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)Titans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.