TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Chiefs vs. Titans: O/U 37.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$164,309
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$171,983

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,309 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd38b…5029backed Over51c56,798$28,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,967.1219553.8%105 W · 90 L+16.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Under50c30,190$15,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,0959245.7%42 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe73e…74febacked Over51c28,382$14,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,474.625648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under49c24,865$12,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,681.2886547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c20,040$9,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,220.475852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c20…7d4fbacked Under49c15,000$7,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,6501346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Over50c15,000$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5009442.6%40 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…1a5dbacked Over51c13,000$6,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6301457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under49c10,452$5,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,330.6651352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,10013560%81 W · 54 L+14.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over50c9,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5005149%25 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c8,222$4,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,211.81,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Over51c5,871$2,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9942142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under49c5,452$2,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,780.6654451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50023937.7%90 W · 149 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5306250%31 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c2,758$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.5856852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x357e…2a0cbacked Over51c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2754944.9%22 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under49c2,470$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.54362.8%27 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9315…a744backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0201560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02010156.4%57 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006647%31 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0004348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdca6…9a97backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over52c1,881$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9782544%11 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c1,881$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97873651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under49c1,259$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.471,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under49c800$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40813959%82 W · 57 L+12.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Over53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26513641.2%56 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25565048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25526648.9%130 W · 136 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25517656.3%99 W · 77 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Over52c480.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010547.6%50 W · 55 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under50c430.53$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.2721254.2%115 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20031450%157 W · 157 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2048750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20420555.6%114 W · 91 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3846…c908backed Over52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2084647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd53e…e70cbacked Over51c378.43$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1936647%31 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53b0…4daabacked Over53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005349.1%26 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Over51c361.8$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.5239242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15314060.7%85 W · 55 L+14.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under49c299.99$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15311640.5%47 W · 69 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Over50c286$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1439138.5%35 W · 56 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.559453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under49c240$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.411758.1%68 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under49c240$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.411859.3%70 W · 48 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under49c218.46$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.816360.1%98 W · 65 L+16.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1028345.8%38 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10010948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10253253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf36f…fb15backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008650%43 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78a4…ea47backed Over47c194.97$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.52450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbf5…6638backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011637.9%44 W · 72 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Under56c182.55$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.717164.8%46 W · 25 L+10.7wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under49c180$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.812057.5%69 W · 51 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Over51c141.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4116551.5%85 W · 80 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.210155.4%56 W · 45 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.26147.5%29 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.26755.2%37 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.212356.9%70 W · 53 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.211058.2%64 W · 46 L+11.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.210359.2%61 W · 42 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29659.4%57 W · 39 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.210958.7%64 W · 45 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29757.7%56 W · 41 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.211056.4%62 W · 48 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.211265.2%73 W · 39 L+16.1wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+29.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.211856.8%67 W · 51 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bf4…7021backed Over45c115.56$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.572245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under49c115.38$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5910461.5%64 W · 40 L+12.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+25.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x99f6…f838backed Over51c113.59$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.938052.5%42 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50ba…5435backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505158.8%30 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2918044.4%80 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5012445.2%56 W · 68 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9242…60babacked Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511540%6 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-33.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Over51c99.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515639.3%22 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa535…dffcbacked Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9da3…a7efbacked Over51c96.08$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4912054.2%65 W · 55 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7690…dfcebacked Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505335.8%19 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebd3…c5f4backed Over51c94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.948557.6%49 W · 36 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+21.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6311260.7%68 W · 44 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.62450%12 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.613357.1%76 W · 57 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.69659.4%57 W · 39 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.615453.9%83 W · 71 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.612459.7%74 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.611658.6%68 W · 48 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.610155.4%56 W · 45 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.610964.2%70 W · 39 L+15.4wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.610464.4%67 W · 37 L+15.3wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+31.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.612458.1%72 W · 52 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.610361.2%63 W · 40 L+11.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.69651%49 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.610565.7%69 W · 36 L+16.6wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.69162.6%57 W · 34 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.69164.8%59 W · 32 L+12.5wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.611463.2%72 W · 42 L+14.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x66bc…c341backed Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.610161.4%62 W · 39 L+11.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.