TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Warriors vs. Nets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Warriorsof Warriors, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,325,442
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,412,397

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,325,442 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 931 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7b6c…6305backed Nets35c365,956$128,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128,262.217941.8%33 W · 46 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Nets41c221,315$89,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89,9509641.7%40 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33f6…e0debacked Nets34c202,636$68,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,875.553033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Warriors63c167,472$105,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,072.922,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Warriors65c84,541$54,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,894.69,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Warriors64c76,400$48,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,443.8522453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Warriors64c66,751$42,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,030.5224650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors59c63,419$37,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,001.7187144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Nets48c59,663$28,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,531.3927251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Warriors66c57,306$37,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,484.0859347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Warriors65c52,904$34,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,331.971,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4a3…0848backed Nets37c50,832$18,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,789.367149.3%35 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Warriors66c50,000$33,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,00012147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Warriors66c50,000$33,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,999.9420551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Nets34c40,002$13,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,600.6323245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Warriors63c37,245$23,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,753.0448343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Nets0c32,860$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1864517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nets16c32,043$4,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,991.541,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Warriors66c30,015$19,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,205.114244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Warriors66c30,000$19,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,199.9819351.3%99 W · 94 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Nets34c26,105$8,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,875.6919751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Nets36c22,937$8,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,147.741,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Warriors65c22,620$14,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,007.5511443.9%50 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Nets34c22,000$7,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,579.9935235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Warriors65c21,538$14,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,510.22,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde6d…0926backed Nets21c20,675$4,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,424.072352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc62a…c2c7backed Warriors66c20,000$13,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,8003063.3%19 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Nets34c20,000$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,799.9815841.1%65 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Warriors58c18,997$10,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,018.5626753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors64c18,819$11,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,829.284,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Warriors65c18,601$12,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,559.752,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03a9…37babacked Nets38c18,305$6,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,955.7810547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Warriors65c18,209$11,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,419.792,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Nets35c16,700$5,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,783.9661835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Warriors65c15,370$10,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,351.12,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors58c15,055$8,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,324.454,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Warriors60c14,887$8,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,000.7344459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Nets34c14,200$4,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,789.6318045%81 W · 99 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Warriors66c13,990$9,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,705.492753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdec1…28bdbacked Nets36c13,889$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1692…831fbacked Warriors62c13,406$8,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,142.546051.7%31 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Warriors62c13,056$8,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,966.425,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Warriors64c10,302$6,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,702.6819048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors64c10,264$6,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,648.696,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Warriors66c10,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,40019150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Warriors66c9,900$6,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,36619560%117 W · 78 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nets36c9,876$3,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,566.643,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Nets38c9,800$3,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,72812843.8%56 W · 72 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Nets30c9,629$2,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,930.261,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Warriors65c9,329$6,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,262.358,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Warriors61c8,500$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,30078445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked Warriors66c8,380$5,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,849.25655.4%31 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a60…3170backed Warriors70c8,326$5,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,495.8312646%58 W · 68 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Warriors62c8,010$4,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,043.85152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x264c…8250backed Warriors61c7,710$4,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,006.94261.9%26 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3513…3579backed Nets38c7,592$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,850.371921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Warriors53c7,238$3,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,425.2652460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nets29c7,218$2,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,122.981529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Nets38c7,008$2,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,642.8621538.1%82 W · 133 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Warriors63c6,870$4,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,538.4626247.7%125 W · 137 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Warriors65c6,832$4,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,391.2961851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Warriors66c6,523$4,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,217.932,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec0…f7aabacked Nets41c6,335$2,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,581.1414254.9%78 W · 64 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Nets33c6,184$2,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04538649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Nets34c6,023$2,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,047.747745.5%35 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Nets34c6,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04011242%47 W · 65 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd538…cc31backed Warriors67c6,000$4,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,98021450%107 W · 107 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d56…7486backed Nets34c6,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04017861.2%109 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Warriors62c5,998$3,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,309.3624151.9%125 W · 116 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Nets24c5,964$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,444.291,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Warriors59c5,941$3,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,435.7247043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked Warriors66c5,800$3,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9723246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7bb…a9f7backed Nets29c5,748$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,656.33844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Nets6c5,700$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3421,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Warriors65c5,700$3,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,99548347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Nets16c5,663$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.1834227.2%93 W · 249 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Warriors66c5,578$3,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,896.411,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Nets38c5,327$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.9347949.7%238 W · 241 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Nets1c5,296$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.38820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Warriors62c5,000$3,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92513743.8%60 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Nets37c5,000$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8508827.3%24 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Warriors58c4,905$2,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,080.2512143%52 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Nets30c4,502$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.3639349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nets4c4,245$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.643,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed Warriors74c4,112$3,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.911361.9%70 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Warriors66c4,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,36045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec32…1634backed Nets37c4,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4801546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Warriors66c4,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3609451.1%48 W · 46 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Nets6c3,989$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.641,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nets6c3,944$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.083,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45a4…080dbacked Warriors61c3,932$2,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb5…4c72backed Nets39c3,913$1,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,526.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Warriors61c3,773$2,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,489.493,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc49…ffd6backed Nets35c3,675$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.043250%16 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Nets31c3,514$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10022035.5%78 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Warriors62c3,367$2,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.8944648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Nets39c3,333$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.8676850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Warriors68c3,244$2,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.8216370.6%115 W · 48 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Warriors64c3,027$1,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.5286641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Warriors62c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14071547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.